La Liga·Etapa 37·
La Liga·Etapa 37·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
25%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,322,81sigur0,52–2,460,46–2,170,99–4,63mai sigur0,27–2,710,23–2,400,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,745,189,92sigur2,88–6,603,44–6,926,32–13,53mai sigur2,39–7,092,97–7,395,36–14,48
Total șuturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5014,8027,30sigur8,58–16,4311,24–18,3619,82–34,79mai sigur7,49–17,5210,28–19,3217,77–36,84
Șuturi din careu
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,739,5718,29sigur5,78–11,676,89–12,2512,67–23,92mai sigur4,96–12,506,15–12,9911,10–25,48
Șuturi blocate
40%
15%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,533,707,23sigur1,65–5,412,04–5,353,69–10,76mai sigur1,11–5,961,55–5,842,66–11,80
Cornere
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,115,0810,19sigur2,90–7,333,08–7,085,97–14,40mai sigur2,33–7,902,54–7,614,87–15,51
Posesie %
64%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,6646,46sigur46,87–60,4539,67–53,24mai sigur45,20–62,1238,00–54,91
Pase
71%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497430927sigur430–565363–496793–1061mai sigur412–583346–514758–1096
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,7772,12sigur65,74–73,8067,80–76,45mai sigur64,45–75,0966,49–77,76
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3512,3624,70sigur9,51–15,189,41–15,3018,92–30,48mai sigur8,75–15,948,66–16,0517,41–31,99
Ofsaiduri
34%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,072,404,47sigur0,91–3,231,31–3,492,21–6,72mai sigur0,61–3,531,02–3,781,62–7,31
Cartonașe galbene
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,953,98sigur0,98–3,080,82–3,081,80–6,16mai sigur0,71–3,340,53–3,371,24–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,21sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,84
Parade portar
44%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,383,286,65sigur1,94–4,811,72–4,833,66–9,65mai sigur1,55–5,201,30–5,262,85–10,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,49 0,52–2,46 0,27–2,71 | 1,32 0,46–2,17 0,23–2,40 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 41% 25% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,74 2,88–6,60 2,39–7,09 | 5,18 3,44–6,92 2,97–7,39 | 9,92 6,32–13,53 5,36–14,48 | 38% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 12,50 8,58–16,43 7,49–17,52 | 14,80 11,24–18,36 10,28–19,32 | 27,30 19,82–34,79 17,77–36,84 | 30% 63% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,73 5,78–11,67 4,96–12,50 | 9,57 6,89–12,25 6,15–12,99 | 18,29 12,67–23,92 11,10–25,48 | 38% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,53 1,65–5,41 1,11–5,96 | 3,70 2,04–5,35 1,55–5,84 | 7,23 3,69–10,76 2,66–11,80 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Cornere | 5,11 2,90–7,33 2,33–7,90 | 5,08 3,08–7,08 2,54–7,61 | 10,19 5,97–14,40 4,87–15,51 | 44% 43% |
| Posesie % | 53,66 46,87–60,45 45,20–62,12 | 46,46 39,67–53,24 38,00–54,91 | — | 64% 31% |
| Pase | 497 430–565 412–583 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 71% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,77 65,74–73,80 64,45–75,09 | 72,12 67,80–76,45 66,49–77,76 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 12,35 9,51–15,18 8,75–15,94 | 12,36 9,41–15,30 8,66–16,05 | 24,70 18,92–30,48 17,41–31,99 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 2,40 1,31–3,49 1,02–3,78 | 4,47 2,21–6,72 1,62–7,31 | 34% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,71–3,34 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,98 1,80–6,16 1,24–6,71 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,38 1,94–4,81 1,55–5,20 | 3,28 1,72–4,83 1,30–5,26 | 6,65 3,66–9,65 2,85–10,46 | 44% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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