La Liga·Etapa 38·
La Liga·Etapa 38·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,263,21sigur0,98–2,910,41–2,121,39–5,03mai sigur0,73–3,170,18–2,350,91–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,483,999,46sigur3,61–7,342,24–5,735,86–13,07mai sigur3,12–7,831,78–6,204,90–14,02
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1710,5926,76sigur12,24–20,097,03–14,1519,27–34,25mai sigur11,15–21,186,07–15,1117,22–36,30
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,787,3617,15sigur6,84–12,734,68–10,0411,52–22,77mai sigur6,01–13,563,94–10,789,96–24,34
Șuturi blocate
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,142,186,31sigur2,26–6,020,52–3,832,78–9,85mai sigur1,71–6,560,03–4,321,74–10,88
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,803,909,70sigur3,59–8,021,90–5,905,49–13,92mai sigur3,02–8,591,37–6,434,38–15,02
Posesie %
76%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,2943,41sigur49,50–63,0836,63–50,20mai sigur47,83–64,7534,96–51,87
Pase
83%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție526409935sigur458–593343–476802–1069mai sigur440–611326–493766–1105
Precizie pase %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,9768,09sigur65,94–74,0063,76–72,41mai sigur64,65–75,2962,45–73,72
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3513,7827,13sigur10,51–16,1910,83–16,7221,34–32,91mai sigur9,75–16,9410,09–17,4719,84–34,41
Ofsaiduri
32%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,533,165,69sigur1,37–3,692,07–4,253,44–7,95mai sigur1,07–4,001,78–4,542,85–8,54
Cartonașe galbene
32%
19%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,032,504,53sigur0,98–3,081,37–3,632,35–6,70mai sigur0,71–3,341,08–3,921,79–7,26
Cartonașe roșii
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,170,29sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,360,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,490,00–0,92
Parade portar
22%
14%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,353,706,05sigur0,91–3,782,14–5,253,05–9,04mai sigur0,52–4,171,72–5,682,24–9,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,95 0,98–2,91 0,73–3,17 | 1,26 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 3,21 1,39–5,03 0,91–5,51 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,48 3,61–7,34 3,12–7,83 | 3,99 2,24–5,73 1,78–6,20 | 9,46 5,86–13,07 4,90–14,02 | 63% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,17 12,24–20,09 11,15–21,18 | 10,59 7,03–14,15 6,07–15,11 | 26,76 19,27–34,25 17,22–36,30 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,78 6,84–12,73 6,01–13,56 | 7,36 4,68–10,04 3,94–10,78 | 17,15 11,52–22,77 9,96–24,34 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,14 2,26–6,02 1,71–6,56 | 2,18 0,52–3,83 0,03–4,32 | 6,31 2,78–9,85 1,74–10,88 | 72% 16% |
| Cornere | 5,80 3,59–8,02 3,02–8,59 | 3,90 1,90–5,90 1,37–6,43 | 9,70 5,49–13,92 4,38–15,02 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 56,29 49,50–63,08 47,83–64,75 | 43,41 36,63–50,20 34,96–51,87 | — | 76% 21% |
| Pase | 526 458–593 440–611 | 409 343–476 326–493 | 935 802–1069 766–1105 | 83% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,97 65,94–74,00 64,65–75,29 | 68,09 63,76–72,41 62,45–73,72 | — | 57% 38% |
| Faulturi | 13,35 10,51–16,19 9,75–16,94 | 13,78 10,83–16,72 10,09–17,47 | 27,13 21,34–32,91 19,84–34,41 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,53 1,37–3,69 1,07–4,00 | 3,16 2,07–4,25 1,78–4,54 | 5,69 3,44–7,95 2,85–8,54 | 32% 17% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,71–3,34 | 2,50 1,37–3,63 1,08–3,92 | 4,53 2,35–6,70 1,79–7,26 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,29 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,92 | 77% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,35 0,91–3,78 0,52–4,17 | 3,70 2,14–5,25 1,72–5,68 | 6,05 3,05–9,04 2,24–9,85 | 22% 14% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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