La Liga·Etapa 38·
La Liga·Etapa 38·Statistici estimate
Goluri
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,820,893,71sigur1,85–3,780,04–1,751,88–5,53mai sigur1,60–4,030,00–1,971,40–6,01
Șuturi pe poartă
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,073,5711,64sigur6,21–9,941,83–5,318,04–15,25mai sigur5,72–10,431,36–5,787,08–16,20
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,4010,3631,76sigur17,48–25,336,79–13,9224,27–39,25mai sigur16,39–26,425,83–14,8822,22–41,30
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,696,4220,11sigur10,74–16,633,74–9,1014,48–25,73mai sigur9,91–17,463,00–9,8412,92–27,30
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,212,407,61sigur3,33–7,090,74–4,054,07–11,14mai sigur2,78–7,630,25–4,543,03–12,18
Cornere
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,623,1910,81sigur5,41–9,831,19–5,196,60–15,03mai sigur4,83–10,410,66–5,735,49–16,13
Posesie %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,6041,40sigur51,81–65,3934,62–48,19mai sigur50,14–67,0632,94–49,86
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6164141030sigur549–684347–480896–1164mai sigur531–702330–498861–1199
Precizie pase %
64%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,6173,24sigur72,58–80,6468,92–77,57mai sigur71,29–81,9367,61–78,88
Faulturi
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6612,0821,73sigur6,82–12,499,13–15,0215,95–27,51mai sigur6,06–13,258,38–15,7714,45–29,02
Ofsaiduri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,483,38sigur0,74–3,060,38–2,571,13–5,63mai sigur0,44–3,370,10–2,860,54–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
24%
22%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,231,933,16sigur0,18–2,280,81–3,060,98–5,34mai sigur0,00–2,540,51–3,350,43–5,90
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,310,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,375,227,59sigur0,93–3,803,66–6,774,59–10,58mai sigur0,54–4,193,24–7,203,78–11,39
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,82 1,85–3,78 1,60–4,03 | 0,89 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,97 | 3,71 1,88–5,53 1,40–6,01 | 77% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 8,07 6,21–9,94 5,72–10,43 | 3,57 1,83–5,31 1,36–5,78 | 11,64 8,04–15,25 7,08–16,20 | 88% |
| Total șuturi | 21,40 17,48–25,33 16,39–26,42 | 10,36 6,79–13,92 5,83–14,88 | 31,76 24,27–39,25 22,22–41,30 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,69 10,74–16,63 9,91–17,46 | 6,42 3,74–9,10 3,00–9,84 | 20,11 14,48–25,73 12,92–27,30 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,21 3,33–7,09 2,78–7,63 | 2,40 0,74–4,05 0,25–4,54 | 7,61 4,07–11,14 3,03–12,18 | 80% |
| Cornere | 7,62 5,41–9,83 4,83–10,41 | 3,19 1,19–5,19 0,66–5,73 | 10,81 6,60–15,03 5,49–16,13 | 89% |
| Posesie % | 58,60 51,81–65,39 50,14–67,06 | 41,40 34,62–48,19 32,94–49,86 | — | 83% 14% |
| Pase | 616 549–684 531–702 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 1030 896–1164 861–1199 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,61 72,58–80,64 71,29–81,93 | 73,24 68,92–77,57 67,61–78,88 | — | 64% 31% |
| Faulturi | 9,66 6,82–12,49 6,06–13,25 | 12,08 9,13–15,02 8,38–15,77 | 21,73 15,95–27,51 14,45–29,02 | 26% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,37 | 1,48 0,38–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 3,38 1,13–5,63 0,54–6,22 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,23 0,18–2,28 0,00–2,54 | 1,93 0,81–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,16 0,98–5,34 0,43–5,90 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,37 0,93–3,80 0,54–4,19 | 5,22 3,66–6,77 3,24–7,20 | 7,59 4,59–10,58 3,78–11,39 | 81% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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