La Liga·Etapa 38·
La Liga·Etapa 38·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,793,24sigur0,48–2,420,93–2,641,42–5,06mai sigur0,23–2,670,70–2,870,94–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,695,4210,11sigur2,83–6,553,68–7,166,51–13,72mai sigur2,34–7,043,21–7,635,55–14,67
Total șuturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2415,0428,28sigur9,31–17,1611,48–18,6020,79–35,76mai sigur8,22–18,2510,52–19,5618,74–37,81
Șuturi din careu
32%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,8110,3119,12sigur5,87–11,757,63–12,9913,49–24,74mai sigur5,04–12,586,89–13,7311,93–26,31
Șuturi blocate
41%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,034,148,17sigur2,15–5,912,49–5,794,64–11,71mai sigur1,61–6,462,00–6,293,60–12,74
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,205,4110,61sigur2,98–7,413,41–7,416,39–14,82mai sigur2,41–7,982,88–7,945,29–15,93
Posesie %
35%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,1653,77sigur41,37–54,9546,99–60,56mai sigur39,70–56,6245,32–62,23
Pase
33%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție459510968sigur391–526443–576835–1102mai sigur373–544426–594799–1138
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,3174,42sigur59,28–67,3470,09–78,74mai sigur57,99–68,6368,78–80,05
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7211,4623,18sigur8,89–14,568,51–14,4017,40–28,96mai sigur8,13–15,327,76–15,1515,89–30,47
Ofsaiduri
27%
20%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,233,79sigur0,39–2,711,14–3,331,53–6,04mai sigur0,09–3,010,85–3,620,94–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,791,773,55sigur0,74–2,840,64–2,901,38–5,73mai sigur0,47–3,100,35–3,190,82–6,29
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,633,136,76sigur2,19–5,061,57–4,683,76–9,75mai sigur1,81–5,451,15–5,112,95–10,56
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,45 0,48–2,42 0,23–2,67 | 1,79 0,93–2,64 0,70–2,87 | 3,24 1,42–5,06 0,94–5,54 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,69 2,83–6,55 2,34–7,04 | 5,42 3,68–7,16 3,21–7,63 | 10,11 6,51–13,72 5,55–14,67 | 35% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 13,24 9,31–17,16 8,22–18,25 | 15,04 11,48–18,60 10,52–19,56 | 28,28 20,79–35,76 18,74–37,81 | 33% 60% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,81 5,87–11,75 5,04–12,58 | 10,31 7,63–12,99 6,89–13,73 | 19,12 13,49–24,74 11,93–26,31 | 32% 59% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,03 2,15–5,91 1,61–6,46 | 4,14 2,49–5,79 2,00–6,29 | 8,17 4,64–11,71 3,60–12,74 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,20 2,98–7,41 2,41–7,98 | 5,41 3,41–7,41 2,88–7,94 | 10,61 6,39–14,82 5,29–15,93 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 48,16 41,37–54,95 39,70–56,62 | 53,77 46,99–60,56 45,32–62,23 | — | 35% 61% |
| Pase | 459 391–526 373–544 | 510 443–576 426–594 | 968 835–1102 799–1138 | 33% 66% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,31 59,28–67,34 57,99–68,63 | 74,42 70,09–78,74 68,78–80,05 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 11,72 8,89–14,56 8,13–15,32 | 11,46 8,51–14,40 7,76–15,15 | 23,18 17,40–28,96 15,89–30,47 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,55 0,39–2,71 0,09–3,01 | 2,23 1,14–3,33 0,85–3,62 | 3,79 1,53–6,04 0,94–6,63 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,84 0,47–3,10 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,55 1,38–5,73 0,82–6,29 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,63 2,19–5,06 1,81–5,45 | 3,13 1,57–4,68 1,15–5,11 | 6,76 3,76–9,75 2,95–10,56 | 50% 15% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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