Bundesliga·Etapa 5·
Bundesliga·Etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
68%
18%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,310,943,24sigur1,34–3,270,08–1,791,42–5,06mai sigur1,09–3,520,00–2,020,94–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,353,459,80sigur4,49–8,211,71–5,206,20–13,41mai sigur4,00–8,701,25–5,665,24–14,36
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,339,5928,92sigur15,40–23,256,03–13,1521,43–36,41mai sigur14,31–24,355,07–14,1119,38–38,46
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,256,0119,26sigur10,31–16,193,33–8,6913,64–24,88mai sigur9,48–17,022,59–9,4212,07–26,45
Șuturi blocate
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,612,548,15sigur3,73–7,490,88–4,194,61–11,68mai sigur3,19–8,040,39–4,683,58–12,72
Cornere
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,763,8110,57sigur4,55–8,971,81–5,816,36–14,79mai sigur3,97–9,551,28–6,355,25–15,89
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,7140,32sigur52,92–66,5033,53–47,10mai sigur51,25–68,1731,86–48,78
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție513332845sigur445–580266–399711–978mai sigur427–598248–416675–1014
Precizie pase %
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,2065,95sigur70,17–78,2261,62–70,27mai sigur68,87–79,5260,32–71,58
Faulturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4211,8925,31sigur10,59–16,268,94–14,8319,53–31,09mai sigur9,83–17,028,19–15,5818,02–32,60
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,553,17sigur0,46–2,780,46–2,640,92–5,42mai sigur0,16–3,080,17–2,930,33–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,133,90sigur0,72–2,821,00–3,261,72–6,08mai sigur0,45–3,080,71–3,551,16–6,63
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
16%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,364,456,81sigur0,92–3,792,89–6,013,81–9,80mai sigur0,53–4,182,47–6,433,00–10,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,31 1,34–3,27 1,09–3,52 | 0,94 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,02 | 3,24 1,42–5,06 0,94–5,54 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,35 4,49–8,21 4,00–8,70 | 3,45 1,71–5,20 1,25–5,66 | 9,80 6,20–13,41 5,24–14,36 | 78% 14% |
| Total șuturi | 19,33 15,40–23,25 14,31–24,35 | 9,59 6,03–13,15 5,07–14,11 | 28,92 21,43–36,41 19,38–38,46 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,25 10,31–16,19 9,48–17,02 | 6,01 3,33–8,69 2,59–9,42 | 19,26 13,64–24,88 12,07–26,45 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,61 3,73–7,49 3,19–8,04 | 2,54 0,88–4,19 0,39–4,68 | 8,15 4,61–11,68 3,58–12,72 | 82% |
| Cornere | 6,76 4,55–8,97 3,97–9,55 | 3,81 1,81–5,81 1,28–6,35 | 10,57 6,36–14,79 5,25–15,89 | 78% 14% |
| Posesie % | 59,71 52,92–66,50 51,25–68,17 | 40,32 33,53–47,10 31,86–48,78 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 513 445–580 427–598 | 332 266–399 248–416 | 845 711–978 675–1014 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,20 70,17–78,22 68,87–79,52 | 65,95 61,62–70,27 60,32–71,58 | — | 84% |
| Faulturi | 13,42 10,59–16,26 9,83–17,02 | 11,89 8,94–14,83 8,19–15,58 | 25,31 19,53–31,09 18,02–32,60 | 58% 34% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,08 | 1,55 0,46–2,64 0,17–2,93 | 3,17 0,92–5,42 0,33–6,01 | 40% 24% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,45–3,08 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,90 1,72–6,08 1,16–6,63 | 33% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,79 0,53–4,18 | 4,45 2,89–6,01 2,47–6,43 | 6,81 3,81–9,80 3,00–10,61 | 16% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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