Bundesliga·Etapa 5·
Bundesliga·Etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
24%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,702,87sigur0,20–2,140,84–2,551,04–4,69mai sigur0,00–2,390,61–2,780,56–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,115,289,39sigur2,25–5,973,53–7,025,78–12,99mai sigur1,76–6,463,07–7,484,82–13,95
Total șuturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4914,0926,57sigur8,56–16,4110,52–17,6519,08–34,06mai sigur7,47–17,509,56–18,6117,03–36,11
Șuturi din careu
39%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,509,1217,63sigur5,56–11,456,44–11,8012,00–23,25mai sigur4,73–12,275,70–12,5410,44–24,82
Șuturi blocate
29%
14%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,124,087,20sigur1,24–5,002,43–5,733,67–10,74mai sigur0,70–5,551,93–6,222,63–11,77
Cornere
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,405,359,75sigur2,19–6,613,35–7,355,54–13,96mai sigur1,61–7,192,82–7,884,43–15,07
Posesie %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,7058,64sigur35,91–49,4951,86–65,43mai sigur34,24–51,1650,19–67,10
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție373535908sigur306–440469–602774–1042mai sigur288–458451–619739–1077
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4377,55sigur64,40–72,4673,23–81,88mai sigur63,11–73,7571,92–83,19
Faulturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5710,6523,22sigur9,73–15,417,70–13,5917,43–29,00mai sigur8,98–16,166,95–14,3415,93–30,50
Ofsaiduri
41%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,553,23sigur0,52–2,840,45–2,640,98–5,48mai sigur0,22–3,150,17–2,930,39–6,07
Cartonașe galbene
37%
19%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,122,324,44sigur1,07–3,171,19–3,452,26–6,62mai sigur0,80–3,430,90–3,741,70–7,17
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
44%
17%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,052,875,91sigur1,61–4,481,31–4,422,92–8,91mai sigur1,22–4,870,89–4,852,11–9,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 1,70 0,84–2,55 0,61–2,78 | 2,87 1,04–4,69 0,56–5,17 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,11 2,25–5,97 1,76–6,46 | 5,28 3,53–7,02 3,07–7,48 | 9,39 5,78–12,99 4,82–13,95 | 29% 59% |
| Total șuturi | 12,49 8,56–16,41 7,47–17,50 | 14,09 10,52–17,65 9,56–18,61 | 26,57 19,08–34,06 17,03–36,11 | 34% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,50 5,56–11,45 4,73–12,27 | 9,12 6,44–11,80 5,70–12,54 | 17,63 12,00–23,25 10,44–24,82 | 39% 51% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,12 1,24–5,00 0,70–5,55 | 4,08 2,43–5,73 1,93–6,22 | 7,20 3,67–10,74 2,63–11,77 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Cornere | 4,40 2,19–6,61 1,61–7,19 | 5,35 3,35–7,35 2,82–7,88 | 9,75 5,54–13,96 4,43–15,07 | 32% 56% |
| Posesie % | 42,70 35,91–49,49 34,24–51,16 | 58,64 51,86–65,43 50,19–67,10 | — | 16% 81% |
| Pase | 373 306–440 288–458 | 535 469–602 451–619 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,43 64,40–72,46 63,11–73,75 | 77,55 73,23–81,88 71,92–83,19 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 12,57 9,73–15,41 8,98–16,16 | 10,65 7,70–13,59 6,95–14,34 | 23,22 17,43–29,00 15,93–30,50 | 62% 31% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,15 | 1,55 0,45–2,64 0,17–2,93 | 3,23 0,98–5,48 0,39–6,07 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,12 1,07–3,17 0,80–3,43 | 2,32 1,19–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 4,44 2,26–6,62 1,70–7,17 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,61–4,48 1,22–4,87 | 2,87 1,31–4,42 0,89–4,85 | 5,91 2,92–8,91 2,11–9,72 | 44% 17% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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