Bundesliga·Etapa 5·
Bundesliga·Etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,763,12sigur0,39–2,320,91–2,621,29–4,94mai sigur0,13–2,570,68–2,850,81–5,42
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,865,5710,43sigur3,00–6,733,82–7,316,83–14,04mai sigur2,51–7,223,36–7,785,87–14,99
Total șuturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0315,8530,87sigur11,10–18,9512,29–19,4123,39–38,36mai sigur10,01–20,0411,33–20,3721,34–40,41
Șuturi din careu
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,599,8619,44sigur6,65–12,537,18–12,5413,82–25,07mai sigur5,82–13,366,44–13,2712,25–26,63
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,234,108,33sigur2,34–6,112,45–5,754,79–11,86mai sigur1,80–6,651,96–6,253,76–12,90
Cornere
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,075,8410,91sigur2,86–7,293,84–7,846,70–15,13mai sigur2,29–7,863,31–8,375,59–16,23
Posesie %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,0755,57sigur37,28–50,8648,78–62,35mai sigur35,61–52,5347,11–64,02
Pase
22%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție386478864sigur319–453412–545730–998mai sigur300–471394–562695–1033
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6674,16sigur61,63–69,6969,83–78,48mai sigur60,34–70,9868,53–79,79
Faulturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8410,4022,24sigur9,00–14,687,46–13,3516,46–28,02mai sigur8,25–15,446,71–14,0914,96–29,53
Ofsaiduri
55%
19%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,391,634,02sigur1,23–3,550,54–2,731,77–6,28mai sigur0,93–3,850,25–3,011,18–6,87
Cartonașe galbene
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,703,60sigur0,85–2,950,57–2,831,42–5,78mai sigur0,59–3,220,28–3,120,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
47%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,266,80sigur2,11–4,981,70–4,813,81–9,79mai sigur1,72–5,371,28–5,243,00–10,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,39–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,76 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,85 | 3,12 1,29–4,94 0,81–5,42 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,86 3,00–6,73 2,51–7,22 | 5,57 3,82–7,31 3,36–7,78 | 10,43 6,83–14,04 5,87–14,99 | 35% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 15,03 11,10–18,95 10,01–20,04 | 15,85 12,29–19,41 11,33–20,37 | 30,87 23,39–38,36 21,34–40,41 | 41% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,59 6,65–12,53 5,82–13,36 | 9,86 7,18–12,54 6,44–13,27 | 19,44 13,82–25,07 12,25–26,63 | 43% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,23 2,34–6,11 1,80–6,65 | 4,10 2,45–5,75 1,96–6,25 | 8,33 4,79–11,86 3,76–12,90 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,07 2,86–7,29 2,29–7,86 | 5,84 3,84–7,84 3,31–8,37 | 10,91 6,70–15,13 5,59–16,23 | 35% 53% |
| Posesie % | 44,07 37,28–50,86 35,61–52,53 | 55,57 48,78–62,35 47,11–64,02 | — | 23% 73% |
| Pase | 386 319–453 300–471 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 22% 78% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,66 61,63–69,69 60,34–70,98 | 74,16 69,83–78,48 68,53–79,79 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,84 9,00–14,68 8,25–15,44 | 10,40 7,46–13,35 6,71–14,09 | 22,24 16,46–28,02 14,96–29,53 | 58% 34% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,39 1,23–3,55 0,93–3,85 | 1,63 0,54–2,73 0,25–3,01 | 4,02 1,77–6,28 1,18–6,87 | 55% 19% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,59–3,22 | 1,70 0,57–2,83 0,28–3,12 | 3,60 1,42–5,78 0,87–6,34 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,55 2,11–4,98 1,72–5,37 | 3,26 1,70–4,81 1,28–5,24 | 6,80 3,81–9,79 3,00–10,61 | 47% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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