Bundesliga·Etapa 6·
Bundesliga·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,473,36sigur0,92–2,860,61–2,321,54–5,18mai sigur0,67–3,110,38–2,551,06–5,66
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,655,0010,65sigur3,79–7,513,26–6,747,05–14,26mai sigur3,30–8,002,79–7,216,09–15,21
Total șuturi
68%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,7913,7130,50sigur12,87–20,7210,15–17,2723,01–37,99mai sigur11,78–21,819,19–18,2320,96–40,04
Șuturi din careu
66%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,398,9820,36sigur8,44–14,336,30–11,6614,74–25,99mai sigur7,62–15,165,56–12,4013,17–27,55
Șuturi blocate
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,373,387,75sigur2,49–6,261,72–5,034,22–11,29mai sigur1,95–6,801,23–5,523,18–12,32
Cornere
60%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,964,6310,59sigur3,74–8,172,63–6,636,38–14,80mai sigur3,17–8,752,10–7,175,27–15,91
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,2945,92sigur48,50–62,0839,13–52,70mai sigur46,83–63,7537,46–54,38
Pase
77%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție486399885sigur419–554332–465751–1019mai sigur401–572315–483716–1055
Precizie pase %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6671,57sigur70,63–78,6967,25–75,89mai sigur69,34–79,9865,94–77,20
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5511,7323,27sigur8,71–14,388,78–14,6717,49–29,05mai sigur7,95–15,148,03–15,4215,99–30,56
Ofsaiduri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,373,06sigur0,53–2,850,28–2,460,81–5,32mai sigur0,23–3,150,00–2,750,22–5,91
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,203,84sigur0,59–2,691,08–3,331,67–6,02mai sigur0,32–2,950,78–3,621,11–6,58
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
38%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,433,767,20sigur2,00–4,872,21–5,324,20–10,19mai sigur1,61–5,261,78–5,753,39–11,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,89 0,92–2,86 0,67–3,11 | 1,47 0,61–2,32 0,38–2,55 | 3,36 1,54–5,18 1,06–5,66 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,65 3,79–7,51 3,30–8,00 | 5,00 3,26–6,74 2,79–7,21 | 10,65 7,05–14,26 6,09–15,21 | 52% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 16,79 12,87–20,72 11,78–21,81 | 13,71 10,15–17,27 9,19–18,23 | 30,50 23,01–37,99 20,96–40,04 | 68% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,39 8,44–14,33 7,62–15,16 | 8,98 6,30–11,66 5,56–12,40 | 20,36 14,74–25,99 13,17–27,55 | 66% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,37 2,49–6,26 1,95–6,80 | 3,38 1,72–5,03 1,23–5,52 | 7,75 4,22–11,29 3,18–12,32 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,96 3,74–8,17 3,17–8,75 | 4,63 2,63–6,63 2,10–7,17 | 10,59 6,38–14,80 5,27–15,91 | 60% 29% |
| Posesie % | 55,29 48,50–62,08 46,83–63,75 | 45,92 39,13–52,70 37,46–54,38 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 486 419–554 401–572 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 885 751–1019 716–1055 | 77% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,66 70,63–78,69 69,34–79,98 | 71,57 67,25–75,89 65,94–77,20 | — | 63% 32% |
| Faulturi | 11,55 8,71–14,38 7,95–15,14 | 11,73 8,78–14,67 8,03–15,42 | 23,27 17,49–29,05 15,99–30,56 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,37 0,28–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 3,06 0,81–5,32 0,22–5,91 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,95 | 2,20 1,08–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 3,84 1,67–6,02 1,11–6,58 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,43 2,00–4,87 1,61–5,26 | 3,76 2,21–5,32 1,78–5,75 | 7,20 4,20–10,19 3,39–11,00 | 38% 15% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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