Bundesliga·Etapa 6·
Bundesliga·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
17%
19%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,092,263,35sigur0,12–2,061,41–3,111,52–5,17mai sigur0,00–2,311,18–3,341,04–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
16%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,656,179,82sigur1,78–5,514,43–7,926,21–13,42mai sigur1,29–6,003,97–8,385,26–14,38
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2817,0828,36sigur7,35–15,2013,52–20,6520,88–35,85mai sigur6,26–16,2912,56–21,6118,82–37,90
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,7512,2018,95sigur3,81–9,699,52–14,8813,33–24,57mai sigur2,98–10,528,78–15,6211,76–26,14
Șuturi blocate
23%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,244,818,05sigur1,36–5,123,16–6,474,52–11,59mai sigur0,82–5,672,67–6,963,48–12,62
Cornere
20%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,036,2010,22sigur1,81–6,244,20–8,206,01–14,44mai sigur1,24–6,813,67–8,734,90–15,54
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție36,5364,25sigur29,74–43,3257,47–71,04mai sigur28,07–44,9955,80–72,71
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție334578912sigur267–401511–644778–1046mai sigur249–420494–662743–1081
Precizie pase %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,9077,35sigur56,87–64,9373,03–81,67mai sigur55,58–66,2271,72–82,98
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7811,8923,67sigur8,95–14,628,94–14,8317,89–29,45mai sigur8,19–15,388,20–15,5816,38–30,96
Ofsaiduri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,553,09sigur0,38–2,700,46–2,640,84–5,34mai sigur0,08–3,000,17–2,930,25–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
40%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,943,90sigur0,91–3,010,81–3,071,72–6,07mai sigur0,64–3,270,52–3,361,16–6,63
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,090,19sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
66%
13%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,132,576,70sigur2,69–5,571,01–4,133,71–9,69mai sigur2,31–5,950,59–4,552,89–10,50
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,09 0,12–2,06 0,00–2,31 | 2,26 1,41–3,11 1,18–3,34 | 3,35 1,52–5,17 1,04–5,65 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,65 1,78–5,51 1,29–6,00 | 6,17 4,43–7,92 3,97–8,38 | 9,82 6,21–13,42 5,26–14,38 | 16% 74% |
| Total șuturi | 11,28 7,35–15,20 6,26–16,29 | 17,08 13,52–20,65 12,56–21,61 | 28,36 20,88–35,85 18,82–37,90 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,75 3,81–9,69 2,98–10,52 | 12,20 9,52–14,88 8,78–15,62 | 18,95 13,33–24,57 11,76–26,14 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,24 1,36–5,12 0,82–5,67 | 4,81 3,16–6,47 2,67–6,96 | 8,05 4,52–11,59 3,48–12,62 | 23% 65% |
| Cornere | 4,03 1,81–6,24 1,24–6,81 | 6,20 4,20–8,20 3,67–8,73 | 10,22 6,01–14,44 4,90–15,54 | 20% 70% |
| Posesie % | 36,53 29,74–43,32 28,07–44,99 | 64,25 57,47–71,04 55,80–72,71 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 334 267–401 249–420 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,90 56,87–64,93 55,58–66,22 | 77,35 73,03–81,67 71,72–82,98 | — | 98% |
| Faulturi | 11,78 8,95–14,62 8,19–15,38 | 11,89 8,94–14,83 8,20–15,58 | 23,67 17,89–29,45 16,38–30,96 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 1,55 0,46–2,64 0,17–2,93 | 3,09 0,84–5,34 0,25–5,93 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,64–3,27 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,90 1,72–6,07 1,16–6,63 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 4,13 2,69–5,57 2,31–5,95 | 2,57 1,01–4,13 0,59–4,55 | 6,70 3,71–9,69 2,89–10,50 | 66% 13% 21% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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