Bundesliga·Etapa 7·
Bundesliga·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
66%
19%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,023,30sigur1,31–3,250,16–1,871,47–5,12mai sigur1,06–3,500,00–2,100,99–5,60
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,563,5010,06sigur4,69–8,421,76–5,256,46–13,67mai sigur4,20–8,911,30–5,715,50–14,62
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,289,6527,94sigur14,36–22,216,09–13,2120,45–35,42mai sigur13,27–23,305,13–14,1718,40–37,47
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,406,2619,66sigur10,46–16,343,58–8,9414,04–25,29mai sigur9,63–17,172,84–9,6812,47–26,85
Șuturi blocate
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,172,868,02sigur3,29–7,051,20–4,514,49–11,56mai sigur2,74–7,590,71–5,003,45–12,60
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,893,4710,36sigur4,67–9,101,47–5,476,14–14,57mai sigur4,10–9,670,94–6,015,04–15,68
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,6144,65sigur48,82–62,4037,87–51,44mai sigur47,15–64,0736,20–53,11
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497391888sigur430–564324–457754–1021mai sigur411–582307–475718–1057
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,2175,35sigur71,18–79,2471,02–79,67mai sigur69,88–80,5369,71–80,98
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8911,1222,01sigur8,05–13,738,18–14,0716,23–27,79mai sigur7,30–14,487,43–14,8214,72–29,30
Ofsaiduri
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,233,90sigur0,51–2,831,14–3,321,64–6,15mai sigur0,21–3,130,85–3,611,05–6,74
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,233,69sigur0,41–2,511,10–3,361,51–5,87mai sigur0,15–2,780,81–3,650,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
21%
14%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,383,906,28sigur0,94–3,822,34–5,453,29–9,27mai sigur0,56–4,201,92–5,882,47–10,08
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,28 1,31–3,25 1,06–3,50 | 1,02 0,16–1,87 0,00–2,10 | 3,30 1,47–5,12 0,99–5,60 | 66% 19% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,56 4,69–8,42 4,20–8,91 | 3,50 1,76–5,25 1,30–5,71 | 10,06 6,46–13,67 5,50–14,62 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 18,28 14,36–22,21 13,27–23,30 | 9,65 6,09–13,21 5,13–14,17 | 27,94 20,45–35,42 18,40–37,47 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,40 10,46–16,34 9,63–17,17 | 6,26 3,58–8,94 2,84–9,68 | 19,66 14,04–25,29 12,47–26,85 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,17 3,29–7,05 2,74–7,59 | 2,86 1,20–4,51 0,71–5,00 | 8,02 4,49–11,56 3,45–12,60 | 74% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,89 4,67–9,10 4,10–9,67 | 3,47 1,47–5,47 0,94–6,01 | 10,36 6,14–14,57 5,04–15,68 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 55,61 48,82–62,40 47,15–64,07 | 44,65 37,87–51,44 36,20–53,11 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 497 430–564 411–582 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,21 71,18–79,24 69,88–80,53 | 75,35 71,02–79,67 69,71–80,98 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 10,89 8,05–13,73 7,30–14,48 | 11,12 8,18–14,07 7,43–14,82 | 22,01 16,23–27,79 14,72–29,30 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,13 | 2,23 1,14–3,32 0,85–3,61 | 3,90 1,64–6,15 1,05–6,74 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,51 0,15–2,78 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,69 1,51–5,87 0,96–6,43 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,38 0,94–3,82 0,56–4,20 | 3,90 2,34–5,45 1,92–5,88 | 6,28 3,29–9,27 2,47–10,08 | 21% 14% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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