Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,363,30sigur0,98–2,920,50–2,211,48–5,13mai sigur0,73–3,170,27–2,441,00–5,60
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,7010,63sigur4,06–7,792,96–6,447,02–14,23mai sigur3,57–8,282,49–6,916,07–15,19
Total șuturi
73%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4113,5730,97sigur13,48–21,3310,00–17,1323,49–38,46mai sigur12,39–22,429,05–18,0921,44–40,51
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,608,5320,13sigur8,66–14,545,85–11,2114,50–25,75mai sigur7,83–15,375,11–11,9512,94–27,32
Șuturi blocate
58%
13%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,623,508,12sigur2,74–6,501,85–5,164,59–11,66mai sigur2,20–7,051,36–5,653,55–12,69
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,084,3410,43sigur3,87–8,302,34–6,346,21–14,64mai sigur3,30–8,871,81–6,885,11–15,75
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8149,01sigur44,02–57,6042,23–55,80mai sigur42,35–59,2740,56–57,47
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție475432907sigur408–542366–499774–1041mai sigur390–561348–516738–1077
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3972,55sigur66,37–74,4268,23–76,87mai sigur65,07–75,7266,92–78,18
Faulturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0811,2524,33sigur10,24–15,918,31–14,2018,55–30,11mai sigur9,48–16,677,56–14,9517,04–31,61
Ofsaiduri
58%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,323,55sigur1,07–3,390,22–2,411,29–5,80mai sigur0,77–3,690,00–2,700,71–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,144,00sigur0,81–2,901,01–3,271,82–6,18mai sigur0,54–3,170,72–3,561,26–6,73
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
31%
14%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,204,027,23sigur1,77–4,642,46–5,584,23–10,22mai sigur1,38–5,032,04–6,003,42–11,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,95 0,98–2,92 0,73–3,17 | 1,36 0,50–2,21 0,27–2,44 | 3,30 1,48–5,13 1,00–5,60 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,93 4,06–7,79 3,57–8,28 | 4,70 2,96–6,44 2,49–6,91 | 10,63 7,02–14,23 6,07–15,19 | 59% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 17,41 13,48–21,33 12,39–22,42 | 13,57 10,00–17,13 9,05–18,09 | 30,97 23,49–38,46 21,44–40,51 | 73% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,60 8,66–14,54 7,83–15,37 | 8,53 5,85–11,21 5,11–11,95 | 20,13 14,50–25,75 12,94–27,32 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,62 2,74–6,50 2,20–7,05 | 3,50 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 8,12 4,59–11,66 3,55–12,69 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Cornere | 6,08 3,87–8,30 3,30–8,87 | 4,34 2,34–6,34 1,81–6,88 | 10,43 6,21–14,64 5,11–15,75 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 50,81 44,02–57,60 42,35–59,27 | 49,01 42,23–55,80 40,56–57,47 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 475 408–542 390–561 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 907 774–1041 738–1077 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,39 66,37–74,42 65,07–75,72 | 72,55 68,23–76,87 66,92–78,18 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 13,08 10,24–15,91 9,48–16,67 | 11,25 8,31–14,20 7,56–14,95 | 24,33 18,55–30,11 17,04–31,61 | 61% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,23 1,07–3,39 0,77–3,69 | 1,32 0,22–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 3,55 1,29–5,80 0,71–6,39 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 2,14 1,01–3,27 0,72–3,56 | 4,00 1,82–6,18 1,26–6,73 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,20 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 4,02 2,46–5,58 2,04–6,00 | 7,23 4,23–10,22 3,42–11,03 | 31% 14% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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