Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,703,28sigur0,61–2,540,85–2,551,45–5,10mai sigur0,36–2,800,62–2,780,97–5,58
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,845,6610,50sigur2,98–6,703,92–7,406,90–14,11mai sigur2,49–7,193,45–7,875,94–15,06
Total șuturi
44%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5914,9329,53sigur10,67–18,5211,37–18,4922,04–37,01mai sigur9,58–19,6110,41–19,4519,99–39,06
Șuturi din careu
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8510,4120,26sigur6,91–12,797,73–13,0914,63–25,88mai sigur6,08–13,626,99–13,8313,07–27,45
Șuturi blocate
39%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,703,977,68sigur1,82–5,582,32–5,634,14–11,21mai sigur1,27–6,131,83–6,123,10–12,25
Cornere
47%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,375,1110,48sigur3,16–7,583,11–7,116,27–14,70mai sigur2,58–8,162,58–7,655,16–15,80
Posesie %
59%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9648,24sigur46,17–59,7541,45–55,02mai sigur44,50–61,4239,78–56,69
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție476434910sigur409–543368–501777–1044mai sigur391–561350–518741–1080
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1672,88sigur65,13–73,1868,55–77,20mai sigur63,83–74,4867,24–78,51
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5413,1824,73sigur8,70–14,3810,24–16,1318,94–30,51mai sigur7,95–15,139,49–16,8817,44–32,01
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,593,25sigur0,50–2,820,50–2,691,00–5,51mai sigur0,20–3,120,21–2,970,41–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
28%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,243,90sigur0,60–2,701,11–3,371,72–6,07mai sigur0,34–2,970,82–3,661,16–6,63
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,683,296,97sigur2,24–5,111,73–4,853,97–9,96mai sigur1,85–5,501,31–5,273,16–10,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,58 0,61–2,54 0,36–2,80 | 1,70 0,85–2,55 0,62–2,78 | 3,28 1,45–5,10 0,97–5,58 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,84 2,98–6,70 2,49–7,19 | 5,66 3,92–7,40 3,45–7,87 | 10,50 6,90–14,11 5,94–15,06 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 14,59 10,67–18,52 9,58–19,61 | 14,93 11,37–18,49 10,41–19,45 | 29,53 22,04–37,01 19,99–39,06 | 44% 49% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,85 6,91–12,79 6,08–13,62 | 10,41 7,73–13,09 6,99–13,83 | 20,26 14,63–25,88 13,07–27,45 | 41% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,70 1,82–5,58 1,27–6,13 | 3,97 2,32–5,63 1,83–6,12 | 7,68 4,14–11,21 3,10–12,25 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,37 3,16–7,58 2,58–8,16 | 5,11 3,11–7,11 2,58–7,65 | 10,48 6,27–14,70 5,16–15,80 | 47% 41% |
| Posesie % | 52,96 46,17–59,75 44,50–61,42 | 48,24 41,45–55,02 39,78–56,69 | — | 59% 37% |
| Pase | 476 409–543 391–561 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,16 65,13–73,18 63,83–74,48 | 72,88 68,55–77,20 67,24–78,51 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 11,54 8,70–14,38 7,95–15,13 | 13,18 10,24–16,13 9,49–16,88 | 24,73 18,94–30,51 17,44–32,01 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,59 0,50–2,69 0,21–2,97 | 3,25 1,00–5,51 0,41–6,10 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,70 0,34–2,97 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 3,90 1,72–6,07 1,16–6,63 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,68 2,24–5,11 1,85–5,50 | 3,29 1,73–4,85 1,31–5,27 | 6,97 3,97–9,96 3,16–10,77 | 48% 15% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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