Bundesliga·Etapa 9·
Bundesliga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
17%
20%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,012,143,15sigur0,04–1,981,29–3,001,33–4,98mai sigur0,00–2,231,06–3,230,85–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
15%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,616,389,99sigur1,74–5,474,64–8,136,38–13,59mai sigur1,25–5,964,17–8,595,43–14,55
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0316,6127,64sigur7,11–14,9513,05–20,1820,16–35,13mai sigur6,01–16,0512,09–21,1418,11–37,18
Șuturi din careu
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,9911,3218,31sigur4,05–9,938,64–14,0012,68–23,93mai sigur3,22–10,767,90–14,7411,12–25,50
Șuturi blocate
24%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,254,697,95sigur1,37–5,133,04–6,354,41–11,48mai sigur0,83–5,682,55–6,843,38–12,52
Cornere
22%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,005,969,96sigur1,79–6,213,96–7,965,75–14,18mai sigur1,21–6,793,43–8,504,64–15,29
Posesie %
15%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,4059,22sigur35,61–49,1952,43–66,00mai sigur33,94–50,8650,76–67,67
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție405560965sigur338–473494–626832–1099mai sigur320–491476–644796–1135
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,2579,19sigur62,22–70,2874,86–83,51mai sigur60,92–71,5773,55–84,82
Faulturi
50%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7311,2022,94sigur8,89–14,578,26–14,1517,15–28,72mai sigur8,14–15,327,51–14,9015,65–30,22
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,663,31sigur0,49–2,810,57–2,751,06–5,57mai sigur0,19–3,120,28–3,040,47–6,16
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,803,65sigur0,80–2,900,67–2,931,48–5,83mai sigur0,54–3,170,38–3,220,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,712,606,31sigur2,28–5,151,05–4,163,32–9,31mai sigur1,89–5,540,62–4,582,51–10,12
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,01 0,04–1,98 0,00–2,23 | 2,14 1,29–3,00 1,06–3,23 | 3,15 1,33–4,98 0,85–5,46 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,61 1,74–5,47 1,25–5,96 | 6,38 4,64–8,13 4,17–8,59 | 9,99 6,38–13,59 5,43–14,55 | 15% 77% |
| Total șuturi | 11,03 7,11–14,95 6,01–16,05 | 16,61 13,05–20,18 12,09–21,14 | 27,64 20,16–35,13 18,11–37,18 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,99 4,05–9,93 3,22–10,76 | 11,32 8,64–14,00 7,90–14,74 | 18,31 12,68–23,93 11,12–25,50 | 82% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,25 1,37–5,13 0,83–5,68 | 4,69 3,04–6,35 2,55–6,84 | 7,95 4,41–11,48 3,38–12,52 | 24% 63% |
| Cornere | 4,00 1,79–6,21 1,21–6,79 | 5,96 3,96–7,96 3,43–8,50 | 9,96 5,75–14,18 4,64–15,29 | 22% 68% |
| Posesie % | 42,40 35,61–49,19 33,94–50,86 | 59,22 52,43–66,00 50,76–67,67 | — | 15% 83% |
| Pase | 405 338–473 320–491 | 560 494–626 476–644 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,25 62,22–70,28 60,92–71,57 | 79,19 74,86–83,51 73,55–84,82 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 11,73 8,89–14,57 8,14–15,32 | 11,20 8,26–14,15 7,51–14,90 | 22,94 17,15–28,72 15,65–30,22 | 50% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,19–3,12 | 1,66 0,57–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,31 1,06–5,57 0,47–6,16 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 1,80 0,67–2,93 0,38–3,22 | 3,65 1,48–5,83 0,92–6,39 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,71 2,28–5,15 1,89–5,54 | 2,60 1,05–4,16 0,62–4,58 | 6,31 3,32–9,31 2,51–10,12 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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