Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,580,873,45sigur1,61–3,550,02–1,731,63–5,28mai sigur1,36–3,800,00–1,961,15–5,76
Șuturi pe poartă
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,543,1110,65sigur5,68–9,401,37–4,867,05–14,26mai sigur5,19–9,890,90–5,326,09–15,21
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,939,5631,49sigur18,00–25,856,00–13,1224,00–38,98mai sigur16,91–26,945,04–14,0821,95–41,03
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,585,8419,42sigur10,64–16,523,16–8,5213,80–25,04mai sigur9,81–17,352,42–9,2612,23–26,61
Șuturi blocate
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,402,357,75sigur3,52–7,280,70–4,014,22–11,29mai sigur2,97–7,820,21–4,503,18–12,32
Cornere
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,213,3110,52sigur5,00–9,421,31–5,316,30–14,73mai sigur4,42–10,000,77–5,845,20–15,84
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,5939,82sigur52,79–66,3833,03–46,60mai sigur51,13–68,0431,36–48,27
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție587390977sigur520–655323–456843–1110mai sigur502–673306–473807–1146
Precizie pase %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,6871,82sigur75,65–83,7167,50–76,14mai sigur74,36–85,0066,19–77,45
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8611,8823,74sigur9,02–14,708,94–14,8317,96–29,52mai sigur8,27–15,458,19–15,5716,46–31,03
Ofsaiduri
56%
21%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,151,333,48sigur0,99–3,310,24–2,431,23–5,74mai sigur0,69–3,610,00–2,710,64–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,013,50sigur0,45–2,550,88–3,141,33–5,68mai sigur0,18–2,810,59–3,430,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,154,616,76sigur0,71–3,583,06–6,173,77–9,75mai sigur0,32–3,972,63–6,602,96–10,57
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,58 1,61–3,55 1,36–3,80 | 0,87 0,02–1,73 0,00–1,96 | 3,45 1,63–5,28 1,15–5,76 | 74% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,54 5,68–9,40 5,19–9,89 | 3,11 1,37–4,86 0,90–5,32 | 10,65 7,05–14,26 6,09–15,21 | 89% |
| Total șuturi | 21,93 18,00–25,85 16,91–26,94 | 9,56 6,00–13,12 5,04–14,08 | 31,49 24,00–38,98 21,95–41,03 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,58 10,64–16,52 9,81–17,35 | 5,84 3,16–8,52 2,42–9,26 | 19,42 13,80–25,04 12,23–26,61 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,40 3,52–7,28 2,97–7,82 | 2,35 0,70–4,01 0,21–4,50 | 7,75 4,22–11,29 3,18–12,32 | 82% |
| Cornere | 7,21 5,00–9,42 4,42–10,00 | 3,31 1,31–5,31 0,77–5,84 | 10,52 6,30–14,73 5,20–15,84 | 86% |
| Posesie % | 59,59 52,79–66,38 51,13–68,04 | 39,82 33,03–46,60 31,36–48,27 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 587 520–655 502–673 | 390 323–456 306–473 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,68 75,65–83,71 74,36–85,00 | 71,82 67,50–76,14 66,19–77,45 | — | 83% 14% |
| Faulturi | 11,86 9,02–14,70 8,27–15,45 | 11,88 8,94–14,83 8,19–15,57 | 23,74 17,96–29,52 16,46–31,03 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,15 0,99–3,31 0,69–3,61 | 1,33 0,24–2,43 0,00–2,71 | 3,48 1,23–5,74 0,64–6,33 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,18–2,81 | 2,01 0,88–3,14 0,59–3,43 | 3,50 1,33–5,68 0,77–6,24 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,15 0,71–3,58 0,32–3,97 | 4,61 3,06–6,17 2,63–6,60 | 6,76 3,77–9,75 2,96–10,57 | 78% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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