Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,583,45sigur0,90–2,840,72–2,431,63–5,27mai sigur0,65–3,090,50–2,661,15–5,75
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,425,3210,74sigur3,56–7,293,58–7,067,14–14,35mai sigur3,07–7,783,11–7,536,18–15,30
Total șuturi
51%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0814,4929,57sigur11,15–19,0010,93–18,0522,08–37,06mai sigur10,06–20,099,97–19,0120,03–39,11
Șuturi din careu
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,869,5920,46sigur7,92–13,816,91–12,2714,83–26,08mai sigur7,09–14,646,18–13,0113,27–27,65
Șuturi blocate
41%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,914,017,91sigur2,02–5,792,35–5,664,38–11,45mai sigur1,48–6,331,86–6,153,34–12,48
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,764,9210,68sigur3,55–7,972,92–6,926,47–14,89mai sigur2,97–8,552,39–7,455,36–16,00
Posesie %
67%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,0846,50sigur48,29–61,8739,71–53,28mai sigur46,62–63,5438,04–54,95
Pase
73%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466391857sigur399–533324–457723–990mai sigur380–551307–475687–1026
Precizie pase %
45%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,5471,94sigur67,52–75,5767,62–76,26mai sigur66,22–76,8766,31–77,57
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5914,0825,66sigur8,75–14,4211,13–17,0219,88–31,45mai sigur7,99–15,1810,38–17,7718,38–32,95
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,473,07sigur0,44–2,760,38–2,560,82–5,32mai sigur0,14–3,060,09–2,850,23–5,91
Cartonașe galbene
30%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,404,25sigur0,80–2,901,27–3,532,07–6,43mai sigur0,53–3,160,98–3,821,52–6,99
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
44%
15%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,543,406,94sigur2,10–4,971,85–4,963,95–9,93mai sigur1,71–5,361,42–5,383,13–10,74
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,87 0,90–2,84 0,65–3,09 | 1,58 0,72–2,43 0,50–2,66 | 3,45 1,63–5,27 1,15–5,75 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,42 3,56–7,29 3,07–7,78 | 5,32 3,58–7,06 3,11–7,53 | 10,74 7,14–14,35 6,18–15,30 | 45% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 15,08 11,15–19,00 10,06–20,09 | 14,49 10,93–18,05 9,97–19,01 | 29,57 22,08–37,06 20,03–39,11 | 51% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,86 7,92–13,81 7,09–14,64 | 9,59 6,91–12,27 6,18–13,01 | 20,46 14,83–26,08 13,27–27,65 | 57% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,91 2,02–5,79 1,48–6,33 | 4,01 2,35–5,66 1,86–6,15 | 7,91 4,38–11,45 3,34–12,48 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,76 3,55–7,97 2,97–8,55 | 4,92 2,92–6,92 2,39–7,45 | 10,68 6,47–14,89 5,36–16,00 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 55,08 48,29–61,87 46,62–63,54 | 46,50 39,71–53,28 38,04–54,95 | — | 67% 29% |
| Pase | 466 399–533 380–551 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 857 723–990 687–1026 | 73% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,54 67,52–75,57 66,22–76,87 | 71,94 67,62–76,26 66,31–77,57 | — | 45% 49% |
| Faulturi | 11,59 8,75–14,42 7,99–15,18 | 14,08 11,13–17,02 10,38–17,77 | 25,66 19,88–31,45 18,38–32,95 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,47 0,38–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 3,07 0,82–5,32 0,23–5,91 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,53–3,16 | 2,40 1,27–3,53 0,98–3,82 | 4,25 2,07–6,43 1,52–6,99 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,54 2,10–4,97 1,71–5,36 | 3,40 1,85–4,96 1,42–5,38 | 6,94 3,95–9,93 3,13–10,74 | 44% 15% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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