Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
24%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,732,91sigur0,21–2,140,88–2,591,08–4,73mai sigur0,00–2,400,65–2,810,61–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,875,139,00sigur2,01–5,733,39–6,875,39–12,60mai sigur1,52–6,222,92–7,344,44–13,56
Total șuturi
26%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1114,9927,10sigur8,19–16,0411,43–18,5519,61–34,59mai sigur7,10–17,1310,47–19,5117,56–36,64
Șuturi din careu
15%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,9210,7517,67sigur3,98–9,878,07–13,4312,05–23,30mai sigur3,15–10,707,33–14,1710,48–24,86
Șuturi blocate
30%
13%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,514,528,03sigur1,63–5,392,86–6,174,49–11,56mai sigur1,08–5,932,37–6,663,45–12,60
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,725,5710,30sigur2,51–6,943,57–7,576,08–14,51mai sigur1,94–7,513,04–8,104,97–15,62
Posesie %
40%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,1552,64sigur42,36–55,9445,85–59,42mai sigur40,69–57,6144,18–61,09
Pase
44%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție415431847sigur348–482365–498713–980mai sigur330–501347–515677–1016
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,8771,98sigur57,84–65,9067,65–76,30mai sigur56,55–67,1966,34–77,61
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8311,5722,40sigur8,00–13,678,63–14,5116,62–28,19mai sigur7,24–14,437,88–15,2615,12–29,69
Ofsaiduri
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,993,67sigur0,52–2,840,90–3,091,42–5,93mai sigur0,22–3,140,61–3,380,83–6,52
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,773,33sigur0,51–2,610,64–2,901,15–5,51mai sigur0,24–2,870,35–3,190,59–6,06
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
50%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,332,786,11sigur1,89–4,761,23–4,343,12–9,10mai sigur1,50–5,150,80–4,762,31–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,18 0,21–2,14 0,00–2,40 | 1,73 0,88–2,59 0,65–2,81 | 2,91 1,08–4,73 0,61–5,21 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,87 2,01–5,73 1,52–6,22 | 5,13 3,39–6,87 2,92–7,34 | 9,00 5,39–12,60 4,44–13,56 | 28% 60% |
| Total șuturi | 12,11 8,19–16,04 7,10–17,13 | 14,99 11,43–18,55 10,47–19,51 | 27,10 19,61–34,59 17,56–36,64 | 26% 68% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,92 3,98–9,87 3,15–10,70 | 10,75 8,07–13,43 7,33–14,17 | 17,67 12,05–23,30 10,48–24,86 | 15% 79% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,63–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 4,52 2,86–6,17 2,37–6,66 | 8,03 4,49–11,56 3,45–12,60 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Cornere | 4,72 2,51–6,94 1,94–7,51 | 5,57 3,57–7,57 3,04–8,10 | 10,30 6,08–14,51 4,97–15,62 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 49,15 42,36–55,94 40,69–57,61 | 52,64 45,85–59,42 44,18–61,09 | — | 40% 56% |
| Pase | 415 348–482 330–501 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 44% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,87 57,84–65,90 56,55–67,19 | 71,98 67,65–76,30 66,34–77,61 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 10,83 8,00–13,67 7,24–14,43 | 11,57 8,63–14,51 7,88–15,26 | 22,40 16,62–28,19 15,12–29,69 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,14 | 1,99 0,90–3,09 0,61–3,38 | 3,67 1,42–5,93 0,83–6,52 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,24–2,87 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,33 1,15–5,51 0,59–6,06 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,33 1,89–4,76 1,50–5,15 | 2,78 1,23–4,34 0,80–4,76 | 6,11 3,12–9,10 2,31–9,91 | 50% 16% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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