Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
17%
18%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,192,443,62sigur0,22–2,161,58–3,291,80–5,45mai sigur0,00–2,411,35–3,521,32–5,93
Șuturi pe poartă
15%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,127,0711,19sigur2,26–5,995,32–8,817,58–14,79mai sigur1,77–6,484,86–9,276,63–15,75
Total șuturi
14%
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4017,9330,33sigur8,47–16,3214,37–21,4922,84–37,81mai sigur7,38–17,4113,41–22,4520,79–39,86
Șuturi din careu
16%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4112,4720,88sigur5,47–11,369,79–15,1515,26–26,51mai sigur4,64–12,199,05–15,8913,69–28,07
Șuturi blocate
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,155,008,15sigur1,26–5,033,35–6,654,61–11,68mai sigur0,72–5,572,85–7,153,57–12,72
Cornere
21%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,526,7511,28sigur2,31–6,744,75–8,757,06–15,49mai sigur1,74–7,314,22–9,285,95–16,60
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,7161,10sigur32,92–46,5054,31–67,88mai sigur31,25–48,1752,64–69,55
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție346540886sigur279–413473–606752–1019mai sigur261–431456–624716–1055
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,9577,18sigur59,93–67,9872,85–81,50mai sigur58,63–69,2871,55–82,81
Faulturi
65%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3810,1022,48sigur9,54–15,217,16–13,0516,70–28,26mai sigur8,78–15,976,41–13,8015,19–29,76
Ofsaiduri
63%
16%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,931,694,62sigur1,77–4,090,59–2,782,36–6,87mai sigur1,47–4,390,30–3,071,77–7,46
Cartonașe galbene
49%
21%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,181,693,87sigur1,13–3,230,56–2,821,69–6,04mai sigur0,86–3,500,27–3,111,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,080,19sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,400,00–0,82
Parade portar
63%
13%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,192,786,97sigur2,75–5,621,22–4,343,97–9,96mai sigur2,36–6,010,80–4,763,16–10,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,19 0,22–2,16 0,00–2,41 | 2,44 1,58–3,29 1,35–3,52 | 3,62 1,80–5,45 1,32–5,93 | 17% 18% 65% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,12 2,26–5,99 1,77–6,48 | 7,07 5,32–8,81 4,86–9,27 | 11,19 7,58–14,79 6,63–15,75 | 15% 77% |
| Total șuturi | 12,40 8,47–16,32 7,38–17,41 | 17,93 14,37–21,49 13,41–22,45 | 30,33 22,84–37,81 20,79–39,86 | 14% 82% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,41 5,47–11,36 4,64–12,19 | 12,47 9,79–15,15 9,05–15,89 | 20,88 15,26–26,51 13,69–28,07 | 16% 78% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,15 1,26–5,03 0,72–5,57 | 5,00 3,35–6,65 2,85–7,15 | 8,15 4,61–11,68 3,57–12,72 | 20% 68% |
| Cornere | 4,52 2,31–6,74 1,74–7,31 | 6,75 4,75–8,75 4,22–9,28 | 11,28 7,06–15,49 5,95–16,60 | 21% 70% |
| Posesie % | 39,71 32,92–46,50 31,25–48,17 | 61,10 54,31–67,88 52,64–69,55 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 346 279–413 261–431 | 540 473–606 456–624 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,95 59,93–67,98 58,63–69,28 | 77,18 72,85–81,50 71,55–82,81 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 12,38 9,54–15,21 8,78–15,97 | 10,10 7,16–13,05 6,41–13,80 | 22,48 16,70–28,26 15,19–29,76 | 65% 28% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,93 1,77–4,09 1,47–4,39 | 1,69 0,59–2,78 0,30–3,07 | 4,62 2,36–6,87 1,77–7,46 | 63% 16% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,18 1,13–3,23 0,86–3,50 | 1,69 0,56–2,82 0,27–3,11 | 3,87 1,69–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 4,19 2,75–5,62 2,36–6,01 | 2,78 1,22–4,34 0,80–4,76 | 6,97 3,97–9,96 3,16–10,77 | 63% 13% 23% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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