Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
21%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,023,01sigur1,02–2,950,17–1,881,18–4,83mai sigur0,77–3,210,00–2,100,71–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,913,729,63sigur4,04–7,771,98–5,476,03–13,24mai sigur3,55–8,261,52–5,935,07–14,19
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,3311,0428,37sigur13,41–21,267,48–14,6020,89–35,86mai sigur12,32–22,356,52–15,5618,84–37,91
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,887,1619,04sigur8,93–14,824,48–9,8413,41–24,66mai sigur8,10–15,653,74–10,5811,85–26,23
Șuturi blocate
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,592,947,53sigur2,71–6,471,28–4,593,99–11,06mai sigur2,16–7,020,79–5,082,96–12,10
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,253,9210,17sigur4,04–8,461,92–5,925,95–14,38mai sigur3,46–9,041,38–6,454,85–15,49
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,1940,69sigur52,40–65,9833,90–47,47mai sigur50,73–67,6532,23–49,15
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție561371932sigur494–629304–437798–1066mai sigur476–647287–455763–1101
Precizie pase %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,0869,54sigur70,05–78,1165,22–73,87mai sigur68,76–79,4063,91–75,18
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3710,9723,34sigur9,54–15,218,02–13,9117,56–29,12mai sigur8,78–15,977,27–14,6616,05–30,63
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,523,14sigur0,45–2,770,43–2,620,88–5,39mai sigur0,15–3,080,14–2,900,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,923,44sigur0,47–2,570,79–3,051,26–5,62mai sigur0,21–2,840,50–3,340,71–6,18
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
25%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,583,786,35sigur1,14–4,012,22–5,333,36–9,35mai sigur0,75–4,401,80–5,762,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,99 1,02–2,95 0,77–3,21 | 1,02 0,17–1,88 0,00–2,10 | 3,01 1,18–4,83 0,71–5,31 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,91 4,04–7,77 3,55–8,26 | 3,72 1,98–5,47 1,52–5,93 | 9,63 6,03–13,24 5,07–14,19 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 17,33 13,41–21,26 12,32–22,35 | 11,04 7,48–14,60 6,52–15,56 | 28,37 20,89–35,86 18,84–37,91 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,88 8,93–14,82 8,10–15,65 | 7,16 4,48–9,84 3,74–10,58 | 19,04 13,41–24,66 11,85–26,23 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,16–7,02 | 2,94 1,28–4,59 0,79–5,08 | 7,53 3,99–11,06 2,96–12,10 | 66% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,25 4,04–8,46 3,46–9,04 | 3,92 1,92–5,92 1,38–6,45 | 10,17 5,95–14,38 4,85–15,49 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 59,19 52,40–65,98 50,73–67,65 | 40,69 33,90–47,47 32,23–49,15 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 561 494–629 476–647 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 932 798–1066 763–1101 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,08 70,05–78,11 68,76–79,40 | 69,54 65,22–73,87 63,91–75,18 | — | 70% 26% |
| Faulturi | 12,37 9,54–15,21 8,78–15,97 | 10,97 8,02–13,91 7,27–14,66 | 23,34 17,56–29,12 16,05–30,63 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,08 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,90 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,47–2,57 0,21–2,84 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,44 1,26–5,62 0,71–6,18 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,14–4,01 0,75–4,40 | 3,78 2,22–5,33 1,80–5,76 | 6,35 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 25% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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