Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
22%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,023,35sigur0,37–2,301,16–2,871,53–5,17mai sigur0,12–2,550,93–3,101,05–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,326,0310,35sigur2,46–6,194,28–7,776,75–13,96mai sigur1,97–6,683,82–8,235,79–14,91
Total șuturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2715,8629,12sigur9,34–17,1912,29–19,4221,63–36,61mai sigur8,25–18,2811,33–20,3819,58–38,66
Șuturi din careu
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,5810,5319,11sigur5,64–11,527,84–13,2113,48–24,73mai sigur4,81–12,357,11–13,9411,92–26,30
Șuturi blocate
36%
14%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,844,388,22sigur1,96–5,722,72–6,034,68–11,75mai sigur1,41–6,272,23–6,523,65–12,79
Cornere
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,495,459,93sigur2,27–6,703,45–7,455,72–14,15mai sigur1,70–7,272,91–7,984,61–15,25
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,3249,43sigur44,53–58,1142,65–56,22mai sigur42,86–59,7840,97–57,89
Pase
57%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție476453929sigur408–543387–519795–1062mai sigur390–561369–537759–1098
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,5674,82sigur67,53–75,5970,49–79,14mai sigur66,24–76,8869,18–80,45
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4510,3721,82sigur8,61–14,297,42–13,3116,03–27,60mai sigur7,86–15,046,67–14,0614,53–29,10
Ofsaiduri
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,532,073,60sigur0,37–2,690,98–3,161,35–5,85mai sigur0,07–2,990,69–3,450,76–6,44
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,723,32sigur0,55–2,650,59–2,851,14–5,50mai sigur0,29–2,920,30–3,140,59–6,06
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
51%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,593,006,59sigur2,15–5,021,45–4,563,60–9,58mai sigur1,76–5,411,02–4,982,78–10,39
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,30 0,12–2,55 | 2,02 1,16–2,87 0,93–3,10 | 3,35 1,53–5,17 1,05–5,65 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,32 2,46–6,19 1,97–6,68 | 6,03 4,28–7,77 3,82–8,23 | 10,35 6,75–13,96 5,79–14,91 | 25% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 13,27 9,34–17,19 8,25–18,28 | 15,86 12,29–19,42 11,33–20,38 | 29,12 21,63–36,61 19,58–38,66 | 28% 65% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,58 5,64–11,52 4,81–12,35 | 10,53 7,84–13,21 7,11–13,94 | 19,11 13,48–24,73 11,92–26,30 | 29% 63% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,84 1,96–5,72 1,41–6,27 | 4,38 2,72–6,03 2,23–6,52 | 8,22 4,68–11,75 3,65–12,79 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,49 2,27–6,70 1,70–7,27 | 5,45 3,45–7,45 2,91–7,98 | 9,93 5,72–14,15 4,61–15,25 | 32% 56% |
| Posesie % | 51,32 44,53–58,11 42,86–59,78 | 49,43 42,65–56,22 40,97–57,89 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 476 408–543 390–561 | 453 387–519 369–537 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 57% 42% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,56 67,53–75,59 66,24–76,88 | 74,82 70,49–79,14 69,18–80,45 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 11,45 8,61–14,29 7,86–15,04 | 10,37 7,42–13,31 6,67–14,06 | 21,82 16,03–27,60 14,53–29,10 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–2,99 | 2,07 0,98–3,16 0,69–3,45 | 3,60 1,35–5,85 0,76–6,44 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 1,72 0,59–2,85 0,30–3,14 | 3,32 1,14–5,50 0,59–6,06 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,59 2,15–5,02 1,76–5,41 | 3,00 1,45–4,56 1,02–4,98 | 6,59 3,60–9,58 2,78–10,39 | 51% 15% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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