Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
59%
20%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,251,283,53sigur1,28–3,210,43–2,141,71–5,35mai sigur1,03–3,460,20–2,371,23–5,83
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,614,1710,78sigur4,74–8,472,43–5,927,17–14,38mai sigur4,25–8,961,97–6,386,22–15,34
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,6211,5630,18sigur14,70–22,558,00–15,1222,69–37,67mai sigur13,61–23,647,04–16,0820,64–39,72
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,898,3221,21sigur9,95–15,835,64–11,0015,59–26,84mai sigur9,12–16,664,90–11,7414,02–28,40
Șuturi blocate
56%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,913,968,87sigur3,02–6,792,31–5,625,34–12,41mai sigur2,48–7,331,82–6,114,30–13,44
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,754,1210,87sigur4,53–8,962,12–6,126,65–15,08mai sigur3,96–9,531,59–6,655,55–16,19
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8744,30sigur49,08–62,6637,51–51,08mai sigur47,41–64,3335,84–52,76
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție517404921sigur450–584338–471788–1055mai sigur432–602320–488752–1091
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,2474,00sigur68,21–76,2769,68–78,32mai sigur66,92–77,5668,37–79,63
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9612,3523,31sigur8,12–13,799,41–15,3017,53–29,09mai sigur7,36–14,558,66–16,0516,02–30,60
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,603,25sigur0,49–2,810,51–2,690,99–5,50mai sigur0,18–3,110,22–2,980,40–6,09
Cartonașe galbene
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,033,54sigur0,45–2,550,91–3,161,36–5,71mai sigur0,19–2,820,61–3,450,80–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
23%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,664,086,74sigur1,23–4,102,52–5,643,75–9,74mai sigur0,84–4,492,10–6,062,94–10,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,25 1,28–3,21 1,03–3,46 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 3,53 1,71–5,35 1,23–5,83 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,61 4,74–8,47 4,25–8,96 | 4,17 2,43–5,92 1,97–6,38 | 10,78 7,17–14,38 6,22–15,34 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 18,62 14,70–22,55 13,61–23,64 | 11,56 8,00–15,12 7,04–16,08 | 30,18 22,69–37,67 20,64–39,72 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,89 9,95–15,83 9,12–16,66 | 8,32 5,64–11,00 4,90–11,74 | 21,21 15,59–26,84 14,02–28,40 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,91 3,02–6,79 2,48–7,33 | 3,96 2,31–5,62 1,82–6,11 | 8,87 5,34–12,41 4,30–13,44 | 56% 31% |
| Cornere | 6,75 4,53–8,96 3,96–9,53 | 4,12 2,12–6,12 1,59–6,65 | 10,87 6,65–15,08 5,55–16,19 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 55,87 49,08–62,66 47,41–64,33 | 44,30 37,51–51,08 35,84–52,76 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 517 450–584 432–602 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,24 68,21–76,27 66,92–77,56 | 74,00 69,68–78,32 68,37–79,63 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 10,96 8,12–13,79 7,36–14,55 | 12,35 9,41–15,30 8,66–16,05 | 23,31 17,53–29,09 16,02–30,60 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,18–3,11 | 1,60 0,51–2,69 0,22–2,98 | 3,25 0,99–5,50 0,40–6,09 | 39% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 2,03 0,91–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 3,54 1,36–5,71 0,80–6,27 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,23–4,10 0,84–4,49 | 4,08 2,52–5,64 2,10–6,06 | 6,74 3,75–9,74 2,94–10,55 | 23% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.