Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
19%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,170,863,04sigur1,21–3,140,01–1,721,21–4,86mai sigur0,95–3,390,00–1,940,73–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,793,229,01sigur3,92–7,651,48–4,975,41–12,62mai sigur3,44–8,141,02–5,434,45–13,57
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,229,6926,91sigur13,30–21,156,12–13,2519,42–34,39mai sigur12,21–22,245,16–14,2117,37–36,44
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,026,3618,39sigur9,08–14,973,68–9,0412,76–24,01mai sigur8,25–15,802,94–9,7811,20–25,58
Șuturi blocate
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,822,667,48sigur2,94–6,711,01–4,313,95–11,02mai sigur2,40–7,250,52–4,812,91–12,06
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,833,7110,53sigur4,62–9,041,71–5,716,32–14,75mai sigur4,04–9,621,17–6,245,21–15,85
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7845,26sigur48,99–62,5738,48–52,05mai sigur47,32–64,2436,81–53,72
Pase
76%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție482395876sigur414–549328–461743–1010mai sigur396–567311–479707–1046
Precizie pase %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,1166,56sigur67,08–75,1462,24–70,89mai sigur65,79–76,4360,93–72,20
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0212,0023,02sigur8,18–13,869,05–14,9417,23–28,80mai sigur7,42–14,618,31–15,6915,73–30,30
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,573,36sigur0,62–2,940,48–2,671,10–5,61mai sigur0,32–3,240,19–2,960,51–6,20
Cartonașe galbene
22%
19%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,402,373,77sigur0,35–2,451,24–3,491,59–5,95mai sigur0,09–2,720,95–3,791,03–6,50
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
22%
15%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,283,605,88sigur0,84–3,712,04–5,152,89–8,87mai sigur0,45–4,101,62–5,582,07–9,68
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,17 1,21–3,14 0,95–3,39 | 0,86 0,01–1,72 0,00–1,94 | 3,04 1,21–4,86 0,73–5,34 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,79 3,92–7,65 3,44–8,14 | 3,22 1,48–4,97 1,02–5,43 | 9,01 5,41–12,62 4,45–13,57 | 75% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 17,22 13,30–21,15 12,21–22,24 | 9,69 6,12–13,25 5,16–14,21 | 26,91 19,42–34,39 17,37–36,44 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,02 9,08–14,97 8,25–15,80 | 6,36 3,68–9,04 2,94–9,78 | 18,39 12,76–24,01 11,20–25,58 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,82 2,94–6,71 2,40–7,25 | 2,66 1,01–4,31 0,52–4,81 | 7,48 3,95–11,02 2,91–12,06 | 73% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,83 4,62–9,04 4,04–9,62 | 3,71 1,71–5,71 1,17–6,24 | 10,53 6,32–14,75 5,21–15,85 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 55,78 48,99–62,57 47,32–64,24 | 45,26 38,48–52,05 36,81–53,72 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 482 414–549 396–567 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 876 743–1010 707–1046 | 76% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,11 67,08–75,14 65,79–76,43 | 66,56 62,24–70,89 60,93–72,20 | — | 70% 26% |
| Faulturi | 11,02 8,18–13,86 7,42–14,61 | 12,00 9,05–14,94 8,31–15,69 | 23,02 17,23–28,80 15,73–30,30 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,78 0,62–2,94 0,32–3,24 | 1,57 0,48–2,67 0,19–2,96 | 3,36 1,10–5,61 0,51–6,20 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,40 0,35–2,45 0,09–2,72 | 2,37 1,24–3,49 0,95–3,79 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,50 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,28 0,84–3,71 0,45–4,10 | 3,60 2,04–5,15 1,62–5,58 | 5,88 2,89–8,87 2,07–9,68 | 22% 15% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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