Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,373,08sigur0,74–2,680,51–2,221,25–4,90mai sigur0,49–2,930,28–2,450,77–5,38
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,339,87sigur3,69–7,412,58–6,076,27–13,48mai sigur3,20–7,902,12–6,535,31–14,43
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,1812,5129,69sigur13,26–21,118,95–16,0722,20–37,18mai sigur12,16–22,207,99–17,0320,15–39,23
Șuturi din careu
67%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,148,6519,79sigur8,20–14,085,97–11,3314,17–25,42mai sigur7,37–14,915,23–12,0712,60–26,98
Șuturi blocate
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,423,709,13sigur3,54–7,312,05–5,365,59–12,66mai sigur3,00–7,851,56–5,854,56–13,70
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,044,4510,48sigur3,82–8,252,45–6,456,27–14,70mai sigur3,25–8,821,91–6,985,16–15,80
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,1151,16sigur43,32–56,9044,37–57,94mai sigur41,65–58,5742,70–59,61
Pase
50%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție473471944sigur406–540405–538810–1078mai sigur388–558387–555775–1113
Precizie pase %
29%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2273,11sigur65,19–73,2568,78–77,43mai sigur63,90–74,5467,47–78,74
Faulturi
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7610,5821,34sigur7,92–13,607,64–13,5315,56–27,13mai sigur7,17–14,356,89–14,2814,06–28,63
Ofsaiduri
59%
20%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,283,51sigur1,07–3,390,19–2,371,26–5,76mai sigur0,77–3,690,00–2,660,67–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
32%
24%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,693,09sigur0,36–2,450,56–2,810,91–5,27mai sigur0,09–2,720,27–3,110,35–5,83
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,073,536,60sigur1,64–4,511,98–5,093,61–9,59mai sigur1,25–4,901,55–5,512,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,71 0,74–2,68 0,49–2,93 | 1,37 0,51–2,22 0,28–2,45 | 3,08 1,25–4,90 0,77–5,38 | 46% 24% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,55 3,69–7,41 3,20–7,90 | 4,33 2,58–6,07 2,12–6,53 | 9,87 6,27–13,48 5,31–14,43 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 17,18 13,26–21,11 12,16–22,20 | 12,51 8,95–16,07 7,99–17,03 | 29,69 22,20–37,18 20,15–39,23 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,14 8,20–14,08 7,37–14,91 | 8,65 5,97–11,33 5,23–12,07 | 19,79 14,17–25,42 12,60–26,98 | 67% 25% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,42 3,54–7,31 3,00–7,85 | 3,70 2,05–5,36 1,56–5,85 | 9,13 5,59–12,66 4,56–13,70 | 66% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,04 3,82–8,25 3,25–8,82 | 4,45 2,45–6,45 1,91–6,98 | 10,48 6,27–14,70 5,16–15,80 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 50,11 43,32–56,90 41,65–58,57 | 51,16 44,37–57,94 42,70–59,61 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 473 406–540 388–558 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 944 810–1078 775–1113 | 50% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,22 65,19–73,25 63,90–74,54 | 73,11 68,78–77,43 67,47–78,74 | — | 29% 67% |
| Faulturi | 10,76 7,92–13,60 7,17–14,35 | 10,58 7,64–13,53 6,89–14,28 | 21,34 15,56–27,13 14,06–28,63 | 47% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,23 1,07–3,39 0,77–3,69 | 1,28 0,19–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 3,51 1,26–5,76 0,67–6,35 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,40 0,36–2,45 0,09–2,72 | 1,69 0,56–2,81 0,27–3,11 | 3,09 0,91–5,27 0,35–5,83 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,07 1,64–4,51 1,25–4,90 | 3,53 1,98–5,09 1,55–5,51 | 6,60 3,61–9,59 2,80–10,41 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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