Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
21%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,363,48sigur1,16–3,090,50–2,211,66–5,31mai sigur0,91–3,350,28–2,441,18–5,79
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,104,2510,35sigur4,23–7,962,51–5,996,74–13,95mai sigur3,75–8,452,04–6,465,78–14,91
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5411,9228,46sigur12,61–20,468,36–15,4920,97–35,95mai sigur11,52–21,567,40–16,4418,92–38,00
Șuturi din careu
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,148,5119,65sigur8,20–14,085,82–11,1914,02–25,27mai sigur7,37–14,915,09–11,9212,46–26,84
Șuturi blocate
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,313,307,61sigur2,43–6,201,64–4,954,08–11,15mai sigur1,89–6,741,15–5,443,04–12,18
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,894,3110,19sigur3,67–8,102,31–6,315,98–14,41mai sigur3,10–8,671,77–6,844,87–15,51
Posesie %
76%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,8143,97sigur50,02–63,6037,19–50,76mai sigur48,35–65,2735,52–52,43
Pase
86%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție541409950sigur474–609342–475817–1084mai sigur456–627325–493781–1120
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,3070,86sigur69,27–77,3366,53–75,18mai sigur67,98–78,6265,22–76,49
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1611,6922,86sigur8,32–14,008,75–14,6417,07–28,64mai sigur7,57–14,758,00–15,3915,57–30,14
Ofsaiduri
37%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,613,16sigur0,40–2,720,51–2,700,91–5,42mai sigur0,10–3,020,23–2,990,32–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,883,28sigur0,35–2,440,76–3,011,10–5,46mai sigur0,08–2,710,46–3,300,54–6,01
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
27%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,893,976,87sigur1,46–4,332,42–5,533,87–9,86mai sigur1,07–4,721,99–5,953,06–10,67
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,13 1,16–3,09 0,91–3,35 | 1,36 0,50–2,21 0,28–2,44 | 3,48 1,66–5,31 1,18–5,79 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,10 4,23–7,96 3,75–8,45 | 4,25 2,51–5,99 2,04–6,46 | 10,35 6,74–13,95 5,78–14,91 | 66% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 16,54 12,61–20,46 11,52–21,56 | 11,92 8,36–15,49 7,40–16,44 | 28,46 20,97–35,95 18,92–38,00 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,14 8,20–14,08 7,37–14,91 | 8,51 5,82–11,19 5,09–11,92 | 19,65 14,02–25,27 12,46–26,84 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,31 2,43–6,20 1,89–6,74 | 3,30 1,64–4,95 1,15–5,44 | 7,61 4,08–11,15 3,04–12,18 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,89 3,67–8,10 3,10–8,67 | 4,31 2,31–6,31 1,77–6,84 | 10,19 5,98–14,41 4,87–15,51 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 56,81 50,02–63,60 48,35–65,27 | 43,97 37,19–50,76 35,52–52,43 | — | 76% 21% |
| Pase | 541 474–609 456–627 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 86% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,30 69,27–77,33 67,98–78,62 | 70,86 66,53–75,18 65,22–76,49 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 11,16 8,32–14,00 7,57–14,75 | 11,69 8,75–14,64 8,00–15,39 | 22,86 17,07–28,64 15,57–30,14 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,61 0,51–2,70 0,23–2,99 | 3,16 0,91–5,42 0,32–6,01 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,35–2,44 0,08–2,71 | 1,88 0,76–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,28 1,10–5,46 0,54–6,01 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,89 1,46–4,33 1,07–4,72 | 3,97 2,42–5,53 1,99–5,95 | 6,87 3,87–9,86 3,06–10,67 | 27% 14% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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