Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,543,09sigur0,58–2,510,69–2,401,27–4,91mai sigur0,33–2,770,46–2,630,79–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,134,809,93sigur3,27–6,993,06–6,556,33–13,54mai sigur2,78–7,482,60–7,015,37–14,50
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9912,8927,88sigur11,06–18,919,33–16,4520,39–35,37mai sigur9,97–20,008,37–17,4118,34–37,42
Șuturi din careu
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,739,5319,25sigur6,78–12,676,85–12,2113,63–24,88mai sigur5,95–13,506,11–12,9412,06–26,44
Șuturi blocate
59%
13%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,593,448,03sigur2,71–6,471,79–5,094,49–11,56mai sigur2,16–7,011,29–5,583,45–12,60
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,754,7210,47sigur3,53–7,962,72–6,726,26–14,69mai sigur2,96–8,542,19–7,265,15–15,79
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,9242,13sigur52,13–65,7135,35–48,92mai sigur50,46–67,3833,68–50,59
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție543376919sigur476–611310–443786–1053mai sigur458–629292–460750–1089
Precizie pase %
52%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,9670,99sigur67,93–75,9966,67–75,32mai sigur66,64–77,2965,36–76,62
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6912,6022,29sigur6,85–12,529,66–15,5516,51–28,07mai sigur6,09–13,288,91–16,3015,00–29,58
Ofsaiduri
16%
15%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,493,024,51sigur0,33–2,651,93–4,112,25–6,76mai sigur0,03–2,951,64–4,401,66–7,35
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,983,41sigur0,39–2,480,85–3,111,23–5,59mai sigur0,12–2,750,56–3,400,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,983,586,56sigur1,55–4,422,02–5,143,57–9,56mai sigur1,16–4,811,60–5,562,76–10,37
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,55 0,58–2,51 0,33–2,77 | 1,54 0,69–2,40 0,46–2,63 | 3,09 1,27–4,91 0,79–5,39 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,13 3,27–6,99 2,78–7,48 | 4,80 3,06–6,55 2,60–7,01 | 9,93 6,33–13,54 5,37–14,50 | 48% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 14,99 11,06–18,91 9,97–20,00 | 12,89 9,33–16,45 8,37–17,41 | 27,88 20,39–35,37 18,34–37,42 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,73 6,78–12,67 5,95–13,50 | 9,53 6,85–12,21 6,11–12,94 | 19,25 13,63–24,88 12,06–26,44 | 47% 44% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,16–7,01 | 3,44 1,79–5,09 1,29–5,58 | 8,03 4,49–11,56 3,45–12,60 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,75 3,53–7,96 2,96–8,54 | 4,72 2,72–6,72 2,19–7,26 | 10,47 6,26–14,69 5,15–15,79 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 58,92 52,13–65,71 50,46–67,38 | 42,13 35,35–48,92 33,68–50,59 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 543 476–611 458–629 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 919 786–1053 750–1089 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,96 67,93–75,99 66,64–77,29 | 70,99 66,67–75,32 65,36–76,62 | — | 52% 42% |
| Faulturi | 9,69 6,85–12,52 6,09–13,28 | 12,60 9,66–15,55 8,91–16,30 | 22,29 16,51–28,07 15,00–29,58 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,03–2,95 | 3,02 1,93–4,11 1,64–4,40 | 4,51 2,25–6,76 1,66–7,35 | 16% 15% 68% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,39–2,48 0,12–2,75 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,68–6,15 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,98 1,55–4,42 1,16–4,81 | 3,58 2,02–5,14 1,60–5,56 | 6,56 3,57–9,56 2,76–10,37 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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