Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
17%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,420,983,40sigur1,45–3,390,13–1,831,58–5,22mai sigur1,20–3,640,00–2,061,10–5,70
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,663,059,71sigur4,80–8,521,31–4,806,11–13,32mai sigur4,31–9,010,84–5,265,15–14,27
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,778,8627,64sigur14,85–22,705,30–12,4320,15–35,12mai sigur13,76–23,794,34–13,3918,10–37,17
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,395,6218,01sigur9,45–15,332,93–8,3012,38–23,63mai sigur8,62–16,162,20–9,0310,82–25,20
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,122,387,50sigur3,24–7,000,73–4,033,96–11,03mai sigur2,69–7,540,23–4,522,93–12,07
Cornere
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,772,999,77sigur4,56–8,990,99–4,995,55–13,98mai sigur3,99–9,560,46–5,534,45–15,09
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,1838,15sigur55,39–68,9731,37–44,94mai sigur53,72–70,6429,70–46,61
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție597370967sigur530–664304–437834–1101mai sigur512–682286–454798–1137
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,5369,62sigur75,50–83,5665,30–73,95mai sigur74,21–84,8563,99–75,26
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9912,9823,98sigur8,16–13,8310,04–15,9318,19–29,76mai sigur7,40–14,599,29–16,6816,69–31,26
Ofsaiduri
39%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,573,17sigur0,44–2,760,48–2,660,92–5,43mai sigur0,14–3,060,19–2,950,33–6,02
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,213,68sigur0,42–2,521,08–3,341,51–5,86mai sigur0,16–2,790,79–3,630,95–6,42
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,054,356,40sigur0,61–3,482,79–5,913,41–9,39mai sigur0,22–3,872,37–6,332,59–10,20
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,42 1,45–3,39 1,20–3,64 | 0,98 0,13–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 3,40 1,58–5,22 1,10–5,70 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,66 4,80–8,52 4,31–9,01 | 3,05 1,31–4,80 0,84–5,26 | 9,71 6,11–13,32 5,15–14,27 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 18,77 14,85–22,70 13,76–23,79 | 8,86 5,30–12,43 4,34–13,39 | 27,64 20,15–35,12 18,10–37,17 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,39 9,45–15,33 8,62–16,16 | 5,62 2,93–8,30 2,20–9,03 | 18,01 12,38–23,63 10,82–25,20 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,12 3,24–7,00 2,69–7,54 | 2,38 0,73–4,03 0,23–4,52 | 7,50 3,96–11,03 2,93–12,07 | 80% |
| Cornere | 6,77 4,56–8,99 3,99–9,56 | 2,99 0,99–4,99 0,46–5,53 | 9,77 5,55–13,98 4,45–15,09 | 86% |
| Posesie % | 62,18 55,39–68,97 53,72–70,64 | 38,15 31,37–44,94 29,70–46,61 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 597 530–664 512–682 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,53 75,50–83,56 74,21–84,85 | 69,62 65,30–73,95 63,99–75,26 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 10,99 8,16–13,83 7,40–14,59 | 12,98 10,04–15,93 9,29–16,68 | 23,98 18,19–29,76 16,69–31,26 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,57 0,48–2,66 0,19–2,95 | 3,17 0,92–5,43 0,33–6,02 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,52 0,16–2,79 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 3,68 1,51–5,86 0,95–6,42 | 25% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,05 0,61–3,48 0,22–3,87 | 4,35 2,79–5,91 2,37–6,33 | 6,40 3,41–9,39 2,59–10,20 | 76% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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