Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,283,01sigur0,76–2,690,43–2,141,18–4,83mai sigur0,51–2,940,20–2,360,70–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,703,829,52sigur3,84–7,572,07–5,565,92–13,13mai sigur3,35–8,061,61–6,034,96–14,08
Total șuturi
68%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8612,8728,73sigur11,94–19,799,31–16,4321,25–36,22mai sigur10,85–20,888,35–17,3919,19–38,27
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,148,1819,32sigur8,20–14,085,50–10,8613,70–24,95mai sigur7,37–14,914,77–11,6012,13–26,51
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,503,628,11sigur2,61–6,381,96–5,274,58–11,65mai sigur2,07–6,921,47–5,763,54–12,68
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,794,4210,22sigur3,58–8,012,42–6,426,01–14,43mai sigur3,01–8,581,89–6,964,90–15,54
Posesie %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,0447,15sigur46,25–59,8340,37–53,94mai sigur44,58–61,5038,70–55,61
Pase
68%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462405867sigur395–529338–471733–1000mai sigur377–547321–489697–1036
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,2272,46sigur67,19–75,2568,13–76,78mai sigur65,90–76,5466,82–78,09
Faulturi
14%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3415,2225,56sigur7,50–13,1812,28–18,1719,78–31,34mai sigur6,75–13,9311,53–18,9218,28–32,85
Ofsaiduri
37%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,623,16sigur0,38–2,700,53–2,710,91–5,42mai sigur0,08–3,000,24–3,000,32–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
21%
18%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,523,96sigur0,39–2,491,39–3,651,78–6,14mai sigur0,13–2,761,10–3,941,23–6,70
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,120,18sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,310,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,81
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,823,536,34sigur1,38–4,251,97–5,083,35–9,34mai sigur0,99–4,641,55–5,512,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,72 0,76–2,69 0,51–2,94 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,36 | 3,01 1,18–4,83 0,70–5,31 | 48% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,70 3,84–7,57 3,35–8,06 | 3,82 2,07–5,56 1,61–6,03 | 9,52 5,92–13,13 4,96–14,08 | 67% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 15,86 11,94–19,79 10,85–20,88 | 12,87 9,31–16,43 8,35–17,39 | 28,73 21,25–36,22 19,19–38,27 | 68% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,14 8,20–14,08 7,37–14,91 | 8,18 5,50–10,86 4,77–11,60 | 19,32 13,70–24,95 12,13–26,51 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,50 2,61–6,38 2,07–6,92 | 3,62 1,96–5,27 1,47–5,76 | 8,11 4,58–11,65 3,54–12,68 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,79 3,58–8,01 3,01–8,58 | 4,42 2,42–6,42 1,89–6,96 | 10,22 6,01–14,43 4,90–15,54 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 53,04 46,25–59,83 44,58–61,50 | 47,15 40,37–53,94 38,70–55,61 | — | 61% 34% |
| Pase | 462 395–529 377–547 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 68% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,22 67,19–75,25 65,90–76,54 | 72,46 68,13–76,78 66,82–78,09 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 10,34 7,50–13,18 6,75–13,93 | 15,22 12,28–18,17 11,53–18,92 | 25,56 19,78–31,34 18,28–32,85 | 14% 81% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 1,62 0,53–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,16 0,91–5,42 0,32–6,01 | 37% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,13–2,76 | 2,52 1,39–3,65 1,10–3,94 | 3,96 1,78–6,14 1,23–6,70 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,82 1,38–4,25 0,99–4,64 | 3,53 1,97–5,08 1,55–5,51 | 6,34 3,35–9,34 2,54–10,15 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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