Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,453,34sigur0,92–2,860,59–2,301,52–5,16mai sigur0,67–3,110,37–2,531,04–5,64
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,624,4810,10sigur3,75–7,482,74–6,236,50–13,71mai sigur3,26–7,972,28–6,695,54–14,66
Total șuturi
71%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1012,5728,66sigur12,17–20,029,00–16,1321,18–36,15mai sigur11,08–21,118,04–17,0919,13–38,20
Șuturi din careu
62%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,518,7019,21sigur7,57–13,456,02–11,3813,59–24,83mai sigur6,74–14,285,28–12,1212,02–26,40
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,273,427,69sigur2,38–6,151,77–5,074,15–11,22mai sigur1,84–6,691,28–5,573,12–12,26
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,684,3410,02sigur3,47–7,892,34–6,345,81–14,24mai sigur2,89–8,471,81–6,884,70–15,34
Posesie %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,0647,00sigur47,27–60,8540,21–53,78mai sigur45,60–62,5238,54–55,46
Pase
68%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție487429916sigur419–554363–496782–1050mai sigur401–572345–513747–1085
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,4072,41sigur69,37–77,4368,08–76,73mai sigur68,08–78,7266,77–78,04
Faulturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4113,0124,43sigur8,58–14,2510,07–15,9618,65–30,21mai sigur7,82–15,019,32–16,7117,14–31,72
Ofsaiduri
38%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,472,94sigur0,31–2,630,38–2,560,68–5,19mai sigur0,01–2,930,09–2,850,09–5,78
Cartonașe galbene
31%
21%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,632,063,69sigur0,59–2,680,93–3,191,52–5,87mai sigur0,32–2,950,64–3,480,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,283,666,95sigur1,85–4,722,11–5,223,96–9,94mai sigur1,46–5,111,68–5,653,14–10,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,89 0,92–2,86 0,67–3,11 | 1,45 0,59–2,30 0,37–2,53 | 3,34 1,52–5,16 1,04–5,64 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,62 3,75–7,48 3,26–7,97 | 4,48 2,74–6,23 2,28–6,69 | 10,10 6,50–13,71 5,54–14,66 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 16,10 12,17–20,02 11,08–21,11 | 12,57 9,00–16,13 8,04–17,09 | 28,66 21,18–36,15 19,13–38,20 | 71% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,51 7,57–13,45 6,74–14,28 | 8,70 6,02–11,38 5,28–12,12 | 19,21 13,59–24,83 12,02–26,40 | 62% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,27 2,38–6,15 1,84–6,69 | 3,42 1,77–5,07 1,28–5,57 | 7,69 4,15–11,22 3,12–12,26 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,68 3,47–7,89 2,89–8,47 | 4,34 2,34–6,34 1,81–6,88 | 10,02 5,81–14,24 4,70–15,34 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 54,06 47,27–60,85 45,60–62,52 | 47,00 40,21–53,78 38,54–55,46 | — | 64% 32% |
| Pase | 487 419–554 401–572 | 429 363–496 345–513 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 68% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,40 69,37–77,43 68,08–78,72 | 72,41 68,08–76,73 66,77–78,04 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 11,41 8,58–14,25 7,82–15,01 | 13,01 10,07–15,96 9,32–16,71 | 24,43 18,65–30,21 17,14–31,72 | 34% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,47 0,31–2,63 0,01–2,93 | 1,47 0,38–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 2,94 0,68–5,19 0,09–5,78 | 38% 25% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,63 0,59–2,68 0,32–2,95 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,69 1,52–5,87 0,96–6,43 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,28 1,85–4,72 1,46–5,11 | 3,66 2,11–5,22 1,68–5,65 | 6,95 3,96–9,94 3,14–10,75 | 37% 15% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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