Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,332,71sigur0,42–2,350,48–2,190,89–4,54mai sigur0,16–2,600,25–2,410,41–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,584,398,97sigur2,71–6,442,65–6,135,36–12,57mai sigur2,22–6,932,18–6,604,41–13,53
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7813,2927,07sigur9,86–17,719,73–16,8519,58–34,56mai sigur8,77–18,808,77–17,8117,53–36,61
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,078,6517,72sigur6,13–12,015,97–11,3312,09–23,34mai sigur5,30–12,845,23–12,0710,53–24,91
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,823,777,59sigur1,94–5,702,11–5,424,05–11,12mai sigur1,39–6,251,62–5,913,02–12,16
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,035,2110,24sigur2,81–7,243,21–7,216,03–14,45mai sigur2,24–7,812,68–7,754,92–15,56
Posesie %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,1649,40sigur43,37–56,9542,62–56,19mai sigur41,70–58,6240,95–57,86
Pase
56%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419402821sigur352–486335–468687–955mai sigur334–505318–486652–990
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1969,10sigur62,16–70,2264,78–73,42mai sigur60,87–71,5163,47–74,73
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9511,5624,51sigur10,12–15,798,61–14,5018,73–30,29mai sigur9,36–16,557,86–15,2517,23–31,80
Ofsaiduri
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,933,55sigur0,46–2,780,84–3,021,30–5,81mai sigur0,16–3,080,55–3,310,71–6,40
Cartonașe galbene
48%
20%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,221,784,00sigur1,17–3,270,65–2,911,82–6,17mai sigur0,90–3,530,36–3,201,26–6,73
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
38%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,063,346,40sigur1,63–4,501,78–4,903,41–9,39mai sigur1,24–4,891,36–5,322,60–10,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,42–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 1,33 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,41 | 2,71 0,89–4,54 0,41–5,02 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,58 2,71–6,44 2,22–6,93 | 4,39 2,65–6,13 2,18–6,60 | 8,97 5,36–12,57 4,41–13,53 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,78 9,86–17,71 8,77–18,80 | 13,29 9,73–16,85 8,77–17,81 | 27,07 19,58–34,56 17,53–36,61 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,07 6,13–12,01 5,30–12,84 | 8,65 5,97–11,33 5,23–12,07 | 17,72 12,09–23,34 10,53–24,91 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,94–5,70 1,39–6,25 | 3,77 2,11–5,42 1,62–5,91 | 7,59 4,05–11,12 3,02–12,16 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,03 2,81–7,24 2,24–7,81 | 5,21 3,21–7,21 2,68–7,75 | 10,24 6,03–14,45 4,92–15,56 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 50,16 43,37–56,95 41,70–58,62 | 49,40 42,62–56,19 40,95–57,86 | — | 49% 46% |
| Pase | 419 352–486 334–505 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 821 687–955 652–990 | 56% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,19 62,16–70,22 60,87–71,51 | 69,10 64,78–73,42 63,47–74,73 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 12,95 10,12–15,79 9,36–16,55 | 11,56 8,61–14,50 7,86–15,25 | 24,51 18,73–30,29 17,23–31,80 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,08 | 1,93 0,84–3,02 0,55–3,31 | 3,55 1,30–5,81 0,71–6,40 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,22 1,17–3,27 0,90–3,53 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 4,00 1,82–6,17 1,26–6,73 | 48% 20% 31% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,06 1,63–4,50 1,24–4,89 | 3,34 1,78–4,90 1,36–5,32 | 6,40 3,41–9,39 2,60–10,21 | 38% 16% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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