Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,953,42sigur0,50–2,441,09–2,801,60–5,24mai sigur0,25–2,690,86–3,031,12–5,72
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,556,2510,80sigur2,69–6,414,51–7,997,20–14,41mai sigur2,20–6,904,04–8,466,24–15,36
Total șuturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0316,7430,78sigur10,11–17,9613,18–20,3123,29–38,26mai sigur9,02–19,0512,22–21,2721,24–40,31
Șuturi din careu
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,8111,1920,01sigur5,87–11,768,51–13,8714,38–25,63mai sigur5,04–12,597,77–14,6112,82–27,20
Șuturi blocate
34%
13%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,964,718,67sigur2,08–5,853,05–6,365,13–12,21mai sigur1,54–6,392,56–6,854,10–13,24
Cornere
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,755,7310,47sigur2,53–6,963,73–7,736,26–14,68mai sigur1,96–7,533,19–8,265,15–15,79
Posesie %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,7456,16sigur37,95–51,5349,38–62,95mai sigur36,28–53,2047,71–64,62
Pase
19%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436538974sigur368–503472–605840–1108mai sigur350–521454–622805–1143
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,7777,16sigur62,74–70,8072,83–81,48mai sigur61,45–72,1071,52–82,79
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9710,3921,36sigur8,13–13,807,44–13,3315,57–27,14mai sigur7,37–14,566,70–14,0814,07–28,64
Ofsaiduri
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,283,72sigur0,28–2,601,19–3,371,47–5,97mai sigur0,00–2,900,90–3,660,88–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
33%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,833,36sigur0,49–2,580,70–2,951,18–5,54mai sigur0,22–2,850,41–3,250,63–6,10
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
56%
15%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,036,96sigur2,49–5,371,47–4,593,97–9,95mai sigur2,11–5,751,05–5,013,15–10,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,95 1,09–2,80 0,86–3,03 | 3,42 1,60–5,24 1,12–5,72 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,55 2,69–6,41 2,20–6,90 | 6,25 4,51–7,99 4,04–8,46 | 10,80 7,20–14,41 6,24–15,36 | 25% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 14,03 10,11–17,96 9,02–19,05 | 16,74 13,18–20,31 12,22–21,27 | 30,78 23,29–38,26 21,24–40,31 | 28% 65% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,81 5,87–11,76 5,04–12,59 | 11,19 8,51–13,87 7,77–14,61 | 20,01 14,38–25,63 12,82–27,20 | 26% 66% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,96 2,08–5,85 1,54–6,39 | 4,71 3,05–6,36 2,56–6,85 | 8,67 5,13–12,21 4,10–13,24 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Cornere | 4,75 2,53–6,96 1,96–7,53 | 5,73 3,73–7,73 3,19–8,26 | 10,47 6,26–14,68 5,15–15,79 | 32% 56% |
| Posesie % | 44,74 37,95–51,53 36,28–53,20 | 56,16 49,38–62,95 47,71–64,62 | — | 23% 73% |
| Pase | 436 368–503 350–521 | 538 472–605 454–622 | 974 840–1108 805–1143 | 19% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,77 62,74–70,80 61,45–72,10 | 77,16 72,83–81,48 71,52–82,79 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 10,97 8,13–13,80 7,37–14,56 | 10,39 7,44–13,33 6,70–14,08 | 21,36 15,57–27,14 14,07–28,64 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,44 0,28–2,60 0,00–2,90 | 2,28 1,19–3,37 0,90–3,66 | 3,72 1,47–5,97 0,88–6,56 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,58 0,22–2,85 | 1,83 0,70–2,95 0,41–3,25 | 3,36 1,18–5,54 0,63–6,10 | 33% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,93 2,49–5,37 2,11–5,75 | 3,03 1,47–4,59 1,05–5,01 | 6,96 3,97–9,95 3,15–10,76 | 56% 15% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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