Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,823,17sigur0,38–2,320,96–2,671,34–4,99mai sigur0,13–2,570,73–2,900,86–5,47
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,625,4910,11sigur2,76–6,483,75–7,246,51–13,72mai sigur2,27–6,973,29–7,705,55–14,67
Total șuturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5414,6528,18sigur9,61–17,4611,08–18,2120,70–35,67mai sigur8,52–18,5510,13–19,1718,65–37,72
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,1810,2019,37sigur6,23–12,127,52–12,8813,75–25,00mai sigur5,40–12,956,78–13,6212,18–26,56
Șuturi blocate
38%
14%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,154,548,69sigur2,27–6,032,89–6,205,16–12,23mai sigur1,73–6,582,40–6,694,12–13,26
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,855,059,90sigur2,64–7,073,05–7,055,69–14,11mai sigur2,07–7,642,51–7,584,58–15,22
Posesie %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,1455,37sigur37,34–50,9348,59–62,16mai sigur35,68–52,6046,91–63,83
Pase
21%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție379473853sigur312–447407–540719–987mai sigur294–465389–557683–1022
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,3277,50sigur63,29–71,3573,18–81,83mai sigur62,00–72,6471,87–83,14
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0711,8824,95sigur10,23–15,918,94–14,8319,17–30,74mai sigur9,48–16,668,19–15,5817,67–32,24
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,493,09sigur0,44–2,760,40–2,590,84–5,35mai sigur0,14–3,060,11–2,870,25–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,993,87sigur0,83–2,930,86–3,121,70–6,05mai sigur0,56–3,200,57–3,411,14–6,61
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,383,056,43sigur1,94–4,811,50–4,613,44–9,42mai sigur1,55–5,201,07–5,032,63–10,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,82 0,96–2,67 0,73–2,90 | 3,17 1,34–4,99 0,86–5,47 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,62 2,76–6,48 2,27–6,97 | 5,49 3,75–7,24 3,29–7,70 | 10,11 6,51–13,72 5,55–14,67 | 33% 55% |
| Total șuturi | 13,54 9,61–17,46 8,52–18,55 | 14,65 11,08–18,21 10,13–19,17 | 28,18 20,70–35,67 18,65–37,72 | 38% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,18 6,23–12,12 5,40–12,95 | 10,20 7,52–12,88 6,78–13,62 | 19,37 13,75–25,00 12,18–26,56 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,15 2,27–6,03 1,73–6,58 | 4,54 2,89–6,20 2,40–6,69 | 8,69 5,16–12,23 4,12–13,26 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,85 2,64–7,07 2,07–7,64 | 5,05 3,05–7,05 2,51–7,58 | 9,90 5,69–14,11 4,58–15,22 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 44,14 37,34–50,93 35,68–52,60 | 55,37 48,59–62,16 46,91–63,83 | — | 23% 73% |
| Pase | 379 312–447 294–465 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 853 719–987 683–1022 | 21% 78% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,32 63,29–71,35 62,00–72,64 | 77,50 73,18–81,83 71,87–83,14 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 13,07 10,23–15,91 9,48–16,66 | 11,88 8,94–14,83 8,19–15,58 | 24,95 19,17–30,74 17,67–32,24 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,49 0,40–2,59 0,11–2,87 | 3,09 0,84–5,35 0,25–5,93 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,88 0,83–2,93 0,56–3,20 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 3,87 1,70–6,05 1,14–6,61 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,38 1,94–4,81 1,55–5,20 | 3,05 1,50–4,61 1,07–5,03 | 6,43 3,44–9,42 2,63–10,24 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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