Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,640,963,60sigur1,67–3,610,11–1,811,78–5,42mai sigur1,42–3,860,00–2,041,30–5,90
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,323,5910,91sigur5,46–9,191,84–5,337,31–14,52mai sigur4,97–9,681,38–5,796,35–15,47
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,2410,0631,30sigur17,32–25,176,50–13,6223,82–38,79mai sigur16,23–26,265,54–14,5821,76–40,84
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,257,1221,37sigur11,31–17,194,44–9,8015,74–26,99mai sigur10,48–18,023,70–10,5414,18–28,56
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,592,688,28sigur3,71–7,481,03–4,344,74–11,81mai sigur3,17–8,020,54–4,833,71–12,85
Cornere
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,213,6711,87sigur5,99–10,421,67–5,677,66–16,09mai sigur5,42–10,991,13–6,206,55–17,19
Posesie %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,6936,25sigur57,90–71,4829,47–43,04mai sigur56,23–73,1527,80–44,71
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție626355981sigur559–694288–421847–1115mai sigur541–712271–439812–1150
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,0365,68sigur72,00–80,0661,36–70,01mai sigur70,71–81,3560,05–71,32
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0312,0322,06sigur7,19–12,879,09–14,9816,28–27,84mai sigur6,43–13,628,34–15,7314,78–29,35
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,513,51sigur0,84–3,160,42–2,601,25–5,76mai sigur0,54–3,460,13–2,890,66–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
17%
19%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,132,303,43sigur0,08–2,181,17–3,431,25–5,61mai sigur0,00–2,450,88–3,720,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,110,15sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,300,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,430,00–0,78
Parade portar
14%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,374,657,03sigur0,94–3,813,10–6,214,03–10,02mai sigur0,55–4,202,67–6,643,22–10,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,64 1,67–3,61 1,42–3,86 | 0,96 0,11–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 3,60 1,78–5,42 1,30–5,90 | 73% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,32 5,46–9,19 4,97–9,68 | 3,59 1,84–5,33 1,38–5,79 | 10,91 7,31–14,52 6,35–15,47 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 21,24 17,32–25,17 16,23–26,26 | 10,06 6,50–13,62 5,54–14,58 | 31,30 23,82–38,79 21,76–40,84 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,25 11,31–17,19 10,48–18,02 | 7,12 4,44–9,80 3,70–10,54 | 21,37 15,74–26,99 14,18–28,56 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,59 3,71–7,48 3,17–8,02 | 2,68 1,03–4,34 0,54–4,83 | 8,28 4,74–11,81 3,71–12,85 | 80% |
| Cornere | 8,21 5,99–10,42 5,42–10,99 | 3,67 1,67–5,67 1,13–6,20 | 11,87 7,66–16,09 6,55–17,19 | 88% |
| Posesie % | 64,69 57,90–71,48 56,23–73,15 | 36,25 29,47–43,04 27,80–44,71 | — | 95% |
| Pase | 626 559–694 541–712 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,03 72,00–80,06 70,71–81,35 | 65,68 61,36–70,01 60,05–71,32 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 10,03 7,19–12,87 6,43–13,62 | 12,03 9,09–14,98 8,34–15,73 | 22,06 16,28–27,84 14,78–29,35 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,00 0,84–3,16 0,54–3,46 | 1,51 0,42–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 3,51 1,25–5,76 0,66–6,35 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,13 0,08–2,18 0,00–2,45 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 3,43 1,25–5,61 0,69–6,16 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,37 0,94–3,81 0,55–4,20 | 4,65 3,10–6,21 2,67–6,64 | 7,03 4,03–10,02 3,22–10,83 | 14% 75% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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