Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
26%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,362,71sigur0,39–2,330,50–2,210,89–4,54mai sigur0,14–2,580,27–2,440,41–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,444,729,16sigur2,58–6,302,97–6,465,55–12,76mai sigur2,09–6,792,51–6,934,60–13,72
Total șuturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5813,0525,64sigur8,66–16,519,49–16,6218,15–33,12mai sigur7,57–17,608,53–17,5816,10–35,17
Șuturi din careu
40%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,378,9017,27sigur5,43–11,326,22–11,5811,65–22,90mai sigur4,60–12,155,48–12,3210,08–24,46
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,633,607,23sigur1,75–5,511,95–5,263,70–10,77mai sigur1,20–6,051,46–5,752,66–11,80
Cornere
43%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,045,0610,10sigur2,82–7,253,06–7,065,89–14,31mai sigur2,25–7,822,53–7,594,78–15,42
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,0750,51sigur42,28–55,8643,72–57,29mai sigur40,61–57,5342,05–58,96
Pase
51%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție438433871sigur370–505366–499737–1004mai sigur352–523349–517701–1040
Precizie pase %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,7268,91sigur61,70–69,7564,59–73,23mai sigur60,40–71,0563,28–74,54
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0712,3823,45sigur8,23–13,919,43–15,3217,67–29,23mai sigur7,48–14,668,69–16,0716,16–30,74
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,171,433,60sigur1,01–3,330,34–2,521,35–5,86mai sigur0,71–3,630,05–2,810,76–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,943,70sigur0,71–2,800,81–3,071,52–5,88mai sigur0,44–3,070,52–3,360,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
39%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,973,126,09sigur1,54–4,411,57–4,683,10–9,09mai sigur1,15–4,801,14–5,102,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,33 0,14–2,58 | 1,36 0,50–2,21 0,27–2,44 | 2,71 0,89–4,54 0,41–5,02 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,44 2,58–6,30 2,09–6,79 | 4,72 2,97–6,46 2,51–6,93 | 9,16 5,55–12,76 4,60–13,72 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 12,58 8,66–16,51 7,57–17,60 | 13,05 9,49–16,62 8,53–17,58 | 25,64 18,15–33,12 16,10–35,17 | 42% 50% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,37 5,43–11,32 4,60–12,15 | 8,90 6,22–11,58 5,48–12,32 | 17,27 11,65–22,90 10,08–24,46 | 40% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,63 1,75–5,51 1,20–6,05 | 3,60 1,95–5,26 1,46–5,75 | 7,23 3,70–10,77 2,66–11,80 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,04 2,82–7,25 2,25–7,82 | 5,06 3,06–7,06 2,53–7,59 | 10,10 5,89–14,31 4,78–15,42 | 43% 44% |
| Posesie % | 49,07 42,28–55,86 40,61–57,53 | 50,51 43,72–57,29 42,05–58,96 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 438 370–505 352–523 | 433 366–499 349–517 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 51% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,72 61,70–69,75 60,40–71,05 | 68,91 64,59–73,23 63,28–74,54 | — | 32% 64% |
| Faulturi | 11,07 8,23–13,91 7,48–14,66 | 12,38 9,43–15,32 8,69–16,07 | 23,45 17,67–29,23 16,16–30,74 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,17 1,01–3,33 0,71–3,63 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 3,60 1,35–5,86 0,76–6,45 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,75 0,71–2,80 0,44–3,07 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,70 1,52–5,88 0,96–6,43 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,97 1,54–4,41 1,15–4,80 | 3,12 1,57–4,68 1,14–5,10 | 6,09 3,10–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 39% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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