Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,853,28sigur0,46–2,391,00–2,711,45–5,10mai sigur0,21–2,640,77–2,930,97–5,58
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,865,6910,56sigur3,00–6,733,95–7,436,95–14,16mai sigur2,51–7,223,48–7,905,99–15,12
Total șuturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5015,3829,88sigur10,57–18,4211,82–18,9422,39–37,36mai sigur9,48–19,5110,86–19,9020,34–39,42
Șuturi din careu
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6110,9920,60sigur6,67–12,558,31–13,6714,98–26,22mai sigur5,84–13,387,57–14,4113,41–27,79
Șuturi blocate
30%
13%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,794,828,60sigur1,90–5,673,17–6,475,07–12,14mai sigur1,36–6,212,67–6,964,03–13,17
Cornere
41%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,175,4110,58sigur2,95–7,383,41–7,416,37–14,79mai sigur2,38–7,952,88–7,955,26–15,90
Posesie %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,6556,25sigur38,86–52,4449,46–63,03mai sigur37,19–54,1147,79–64,70
Pase
19%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție426529955sigur359–493463–596822–1089mai sigur341–511445–613786–1125
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,9577,24sigur62,92–70,9872,91–81,56mai sigur61,63–72,2771,60–82,87
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1110,2921,40sigur8,27–13,957,35–13,2415,62–27,18mai sigur7,51–14,706,60–13,9914,11–28,69
Ofsaiduri
67%
16%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,781,374,15sigur1,62–3,940,27–2,461,90–6,40mai sigur1,32–4,250,00–2,751,31–6,99
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,703,47sigur0,72–2,820,57–2,831,29–5,65mai sigur0,46–3,090,28–3,120,74–6,21
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,260,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,773,247,01sigur2,33–5,201,68–4,804,02–10,00mai sigur1,94–5,591,26–5,223,20–10,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,39 0,21–2,64 | 1,85 1,00–2,71 0,77–2,93 | 3,28 1,45–5,10 0,97–5,58 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,86 3,00–6,73 2,51–7,22 | 5,69 3,95–7,43 3,48–7,90 | 10,56 6,95–14,16 5,99–15,12 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 14,50 10,57–18,42 9,48–19,51 | 15,38 11,82–18,94 10,86–19,90 | 29,88 22,39–37,36 20,34–39,42 | 40% 53% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,61 6,67–12,55 5,84–13,38 | 10,99 8,31–13,67 7,57–14,41 | 20,60 14,98–26,22 13,41–27,79 | 34% 58% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,79 1,90–5,67 1,36–6,21 | 4,82 3,17–6,47 2,67–6,96 | 8,60 5,07–12,14 4,03–13,17 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Cornere | 5,17 2,95–7,38 2,38–7,95 | 5,41 3,41–7,41 2,88–7,95 | 10,58 6,37–14,79 5,26–15,90 | 41% 47% |
| Posesie % | 45,65 38,86–52,44 37,19–54,11 | 56,25 49,46–63,03 47,79–64,70 | — | 25% 71% |
| Pase | 426 359–493 341–511 | 529 463–596 445–613 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 19% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,95 62,92–70,98 61,63–72,27 | 77,24 72,91–81,56 71,60–82,87 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 11,11 8,27–13,95 7,51–14,70 | 10,29 7,35–13,24 6,60–13,99 | 21,40 15,62–27,18 14,11–28,69 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,78 1,62–3,94 1,32–4,25 | 1,37 0,27–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 4,15 1,90–6,40 1,31–6,99 | 67% 16% 17% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,46–3,09 | 1,70 0,57–2,83 0,28–3,12 | 3,47 1,29–5,65 0,74–6,21 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,77 2,33–5,20 1,94–5,59 | 3,24 1,68–4,80 1,26–5,22 | 7,01 4,02–10,00 3,20–10,81 | 50% 15% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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