Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
21%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,222,073,28sigur0,25–2,181,21–2,921,46–5,11mai sigur0,00–2,440,98–3,150,98–5,59
Șuturi pe poartă
19%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,816,099,90sigur1,95–5,674,35–7,846,30–13,51mai sigur1,46–6,163,89–8,305,34–14,46
Total șuturi
15%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2816,2127,49sigur7,36–15,2112,64–19,7720,00–34,98mai sigur6,27–16,3011,68–20,7317,95–37,03
Șuturi din careu
16%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,2410,9818,22sigur4,30–10,198,29–13,6612,60–23,84mai sigur3,47–11,027,56–14,3911,03–25,41
Șuturi blocate
28%
14%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,134,197,32sigur1,25–5,012,54–5,853,79–10,86mai sigur0,70–5,552,05–6,342,75–11,89
Cornere
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,905,709,60sigur1,69–6,123,69–7,705,38–13,81mai sigur1,11–6,693,16–8,234,28–14,92
Posesie %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,8956,28sigur39,10–52,6849,50–63,07mai sigur37,43–54,3547,83–64,74
Pase
22%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție446538984sigur379–513472–605851–1118mai sigur361–531454–622815–1154
Precizie pase %
13%
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,9979,19sigur66,96–75,0274,86–83,51mai sigur65,66–76,3173,55–84,82
Faulturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7010,9023,60sigur9,87–15,547,95–13,8417,82–29,38mai sigur9,11–16,307,20–14,5916,32–30,89
Ofsaiduri
41%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,603,34sigur0,58–2,900,51–2,701,09–5,60mai sigur0,28–3,200,22–2,990,50–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,923,60sigur0,63–2,730,80–3,051,42–5,78mai sigur0,36–2,990,50–3,340,86–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
57%
15%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,622,646,26sigur2,19–5,061,08–4,203,27–9,26mai sigur1,80–5,450,66–4,622,46–10,07
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,22 0,25–2,18 0,00–2,44 | 2,07 1,21–2,92 0,98–3,15 | 3,28 1,46–5,11 0,98–5,59 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,81 1,95–5,67 1,46–6,16 | 6,09 4,35–7,84 3,89–8,30 | 9,90 6,30–13,51 5,34–14,46 | 19% 71% |
| Total șuturi | 11,28 7,36–15,21 6,27–16,30 | 16,21 12,64–19,77 11,68–20,73 | 27,49 20,00–34,98 17,95–37,03 | 15% 80% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,24 4,30–10,19 3,47–11,02 | 10,98 8,29–13,66 7,56–14,39 | 18,22 12,60–23,84 11,03–25,41 | 16% 78% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,13 1,25–5,01 0,70–5,55 | 4,19 2,54–5,85 2,05–6,34 | 7,32 3,79–10,86 2,75–11,89 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Cornere | 3,90 1,69–6,12 1,11–6,69 | 5,70 3,69–7,70 3,16–8,23 | 9,60 5,38–13,81 4,28–14,92 | 23% 66% |
| Posesie % | 45,89 39,10–52,68 37,43–54,35 | 56,28 49,50–63,07 47,83–64,74 | — | 25% 71% |
| Pase | 446 379–513 361–531 | 538 472–605 454–622 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 22% 78% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,99 66,96–75,02 65,66–76,31 | 79,19 74,86–83,51 73,55–84,82 | — | 13% 84% |
| Faulturi | 12,70 9,87–15,54 9,11–16,30 | 10,90 7,95–13,84 7,20–14,59 | 23,60 17,82–29,38 16,32–30,89 | 61% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,60 0,51–2,70 0,22–2,99 | 3,34 1,09–5,60 0,50–6,19 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,36–2,99 | 1,92 0,80–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,60 1,42–5,78 0,86–6,34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,62 2,19–5,06 1,80–5,45 | 2,64 1,08–4,20 0,66–4,62 | 6,26 3,27–9,26 2,46–10,07 | 57% 15% 27% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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