Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,743,41sigur0,70–2,640,89–2,601,59–5,23mai sigur0,45–2,890,66–2,831,11–5,71
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,515,3210,84sigur3,65–7,383,58–7,067,23–14,44mai sigur3,16–7,873,11–7,536,28–15,40
Total șuturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4615,0332,50sigur13,54–21,3811,47–18,6025,01–39,98mai sigur12,44–22,4810,51–19,5622,96–42,03
Șuturi din careu
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,729,2419,96sigur7,78–13,676,56–11,9214,34–25,58mai sigur6,95–14,495,82–12,6612,77–27,15
Șuturi blocate
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,243,668,90sigur3,36–7,122,00–5,315,36–12,43mai sigur2,81–7,661,51–5,804,32–13,47
Cornere
59%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,994,7510,75sigur3,78–8,212,75–6,756,53–14,96mai sigur3,21–8,782,22–7,295,43–16,07
Posesie %
51%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,6449,35sigur43,85–57,4342,56–56,13mai sigur42,18–59,1040,89–57,80
Pase
56%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție474455929sigur407–541389–522796–1063mai sigur389–560371–539760–1099
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4873,83sigur65,46–73,5169,50–78,15mai sigur64,16–74,8168,20–79,46
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9112,1123,02sigur8,07–13,749,17–15,0617,24–28,80mai sigur7,31–14,508,42–15,8015,73–30,30
Ofsaiduri
51%
20%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,211,663,87sigur1,05–3,370,57–2,751,62–6,12mai sigur0,75–3,670,28–3,041,03–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,073,51sigur0,39–2,490,94–3,201,33–5,69mai sigur0,13–2,760,65–3,490,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,503,877,37sigur2,06–4,932,31–5,424,37–10,36mai sigur1,67–5,321,89–5,853,56–11,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,74 0,89–2,60 0,66–2,83 | 3,41 1,59–5,23 1,11–5,71 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,51 3,65–7,38 3,16–7,87 | 5,32 3,58–7,06 3,11–7,53 | 10,84 7,23–14,44 6,28–15,40 | 46% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 17,46 13,54–21,38 12,44–22,48 | 15,03 11,47–18,60 10,51–19,56 | 32,50 25,01–39,98 22,96–42,03 | 63% 30% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,72 7,78–13,67 6,95–14,49 | 9,24 6,56–11,92 5,82–12,66 | 19,96 14,34–25,58 12,77–27,15 | 59% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,24 3,36–7,12 2,81–7,66 | 3,66 2,00–5,31 1,51–5,80 | 8,90 5,36–12,43 4,32–13,47 | 64% 24% |
| Cornere | 5,99 3,78–8,21 3,21–8,78 | 4,75 2,75–6,75 2,22–7,29 | 10,75 6,53–14,96 5,43–16,07 | 59% 30% |
| Posesie % | 50,64 43,85–57,43 42,18–59,10 | 49,35 42,56–56,13 40,89–57,80 | — | 51% 45% |
| Pase | 474 407–541 389–560 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 929 796–1063 760–1099 | 56% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,48 65,46–73,51 64,16–74,81 | 73,83 69,50–78,15 68,20–79,46 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 10,91 8,07–13,74 7,31–14,50 | 12,11 9,17–15,06 8,42–15,80 | 23,02 17,24–28,80 15,73–30,30 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,21 1,05–3,37 0,75–3,67 | 1,66 0,57–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,87 1,62–6,12 1,03–6,71 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,13–2,76 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 3,51 1,33–5,69 0,77–6,24 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,50 2,06–4,93 1,67–5,32 | 3,87 2,31–5,42 1,89–5,85 | 7,37 4,37–10,36 3,56–11,17 | 37% 15% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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