Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,402,133,53sigur0,43–2,371,28–2,991,71–5,36mai sigur0,18–2,621,05–3,211,23–5,84
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,476,0710,54sigur2,61–6,334,32–7,816,93–14,14mai sigur2,12–6,823,86–8,285,98–15,10
Total șuturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8215,0428,86sigur9,89–17,7411,48–18,6121,37–36,35mai sigur8,80–18,8310,52–19,5719,32–38,40
Șuturi din careu
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4510,5719,02sigur5,51–11,397,89–13,2613,40–24,65mai sigur4,68–12,227,16–13,9911,83–26,21
Șuturi blocate
42%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,014,048,06sigur2,13–5,902,39–5,694,52–11,59mai sigur1,59–6,441,90–6,193,49–12,63
Cornere
40%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,215,4910,70sigur3,00–7,423,49–7,496,49–14,92mai sigur2,42–8,002,96–8,035,38–16,02
Posesie %
42%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2751,87sigur42,48–56,0645,09–58,66mai sigur40,81–57,7343,41–60,33
Pase
46%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție489500989sigur422–557433–566855–1123mai sigur404–575416–584820–1158
Precizie pase %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,7874,50sigur67,76–75,8170,18–78,82mai sigur66,46–77,1168,87–80,13
Faulturi
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,5712,0321,60sigur6,73–12,419,08–14,9715,82–27,38mai sigur5,98–13,168,34–15,7214,31–28,89
Ofsaiduri
17%
14%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,773,405,16sigur0,61–2,932,30–4,492,91–7,42mai sigur0,31–3,232,01–4,782,32–8,01
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,913,45sigur0,49–2,590,78–3,041,27–5,63mai sigur0,23–2,860,49–3,330,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,663,216,87sigur2,23–5,101,66–4,773,88–9,87mai sigur1,84–5,491,23–5,193,07–10,68
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 2,13 1,28–2,99 1,05–3,21 | 3,53 1,71–5,36 1,23–5,84 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,47 2,61–6,33 2,12–6,82 | 6,07 4,32–7,81 3,86–8,28 | 10,54 6,93–14,14 5,98–15,10 | 26% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 13,82 9,89–17,74 8,80–18,83 | 15,04 11,48–18,61 10,52–19,57 | 28,86 21,37–36,35 19,32–38,40 | 37% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,45 5,51–11,39 4,68–12,22 | 10,57 7,89–13,26 7,16–13,99 | 19,02 13,40–24,65 11,83–26,21 | 27% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,01 2,13–5,90 1,59–6,44 | 4,04 2,39–5,69 1,90–6,19 | 8,06 4,52–11,59 3,49–12,63 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,21 3,00–7,42 2,42–8,00 | 5,49 3,49–7,49 2,96–8,03 | 10,70 6,49–14,92 5,38–16,02 | 40% 47% |
| Posesie % | 49,27 42,48–56,06 40,81–57,73 | 51,87 45,09–58,66 43,41–60,33 | — | 42% 54% |
| Pase | 489 422–557 404–575 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 989 855–1123 820–1158 | 46% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,78 67,76–75,81 66,46–77,11 | 74,50 70,18–78,82 68,87–80,13 | — | 34% 61% |
| Faulturi | 9,57 6,73–12,41 5,98–13,16 | 12,03 9,08–14,97 8,34–15,72 | 21,60 15,82–27,38 14,31–28,89 | 26% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,31–3,23 | 3,40 2,30–4,49 2,01–4,78 | 5,16 2,91–7,42 2,32–8,01 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,45 1,27–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,66 2,23–5,10 1,84–5,49 | 3,21 1,66–4,77 1,23–5,19 | 6,87 3,88–9,87 3,07–10,68 | 49% 15% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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