Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
66%
19%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,220,973,19sigur1,25–3,190,12–1,831,37–5,01mai sigur1,00–3,440,00–2,060,89–5,49
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,613,4410,05sigur4,75–8,471,69–5,186,44–13,65mai sigur4,26–8,961,23–5,655,49–14,61
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,759,1827,93sigur14,83–22,685,61–12,7420,44–35,41mai sigur13,74–23,774,65–13,7018,39–37,46
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,615,8918,50sigur9,67–15,553,21–8,5712,88–24,12mai sigur8,84–16,382,47–9,3111,31–25,69
Șuturi blocate
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,122,918,03sigur3,24–7,001,25–4,564,49–11,56mai sigur2,70–7,550,76–5,053,46–12,60
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,363,129,48sigur4,14–8,571,12–5,125,27–13,69mai sigur3,57–9,140,59–5,664,16–14,80
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,1842,18sigur50,39–63,9735,39–48,96mai sigur48,72–65,6433,72–50,63
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție536384920sigur469–603317–450786–1054mai sigur451–622300–468751–1089
Precizie pase %
62%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,7274,93sigur73,69–81,7570,60–79,25mai sigur72,40–83,0469,29–80,56
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9513,0825,03sigur9,11–14,7810,14–16,0219,24–30,81mai sigur8,35–15,549,39–16,7717,74–32,31
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,613,30sigur0,53–2,850,52–2,711,05–5,56mai sigur0,23–3,150,23–2,990,46–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
21%
19%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,422,453,87sigur0,37–2,471,32–3,581,69–6,05mai sigur0,11–2,741,03–3,871,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
18%
13%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,233,946,17sigur0,80–3,672,38–5,503,18–9,17mai sigur0,41–4,061,96–5,922,37–9,98
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,22 1,25–3,19 1,00–3,44 | 0,97 0,12–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 3,19 1,37–5,01 0,89–5,49 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,61 4,75–8,47 4,26–8,96 | 3,44 1,69–5,18 1,23–5,65 | 10,05 6,44–13,65 5,49–14,61 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 18,75 14,83–22,68 13,74–23,77 | 9,18 5,61–12,74 4,65–13,70 | 27,93 20,44–35,41 18,39–37,46 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,61 9,67–15,55 8,84–16,38 | 5,89 3,21–8,57 2,47–9,31 | 18,50 12,88–24,12 11,31–25,69 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,12 3,24–7,00 2,70–7,55 | 2,91 1,25–4,56 0,76–5,05 | 8,03 4,49–11,56 3,46–12,60 | 73% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,36 4,14–8,57 3,57–9,14 | 3,12 1,12–5,12 0,59–5,66 | 9,48 5,27–13,69 4,16–14,80 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 57,18 50,39–63,97 48,72–65,64 | 42,18 35,39–48,96 33,72–50,63 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 536 469–603 451–622 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,72 73,69–81,75 72,40–83,04 | 74,93 70,60–79,25 69,29–80,56 | — | 62% 34% |
| Faulturi | 11,95 9,11–14,78 8,35–15,54 | 13,08 10,14–16,02 9,39–16,77 | 25,03 19,24–30,81 17,74–32,31 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,61 0,52–2,71 0,23–2,99 | 3,30 1,05–5,56 0,46–6,15 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,42 0,37–2,47 0,11–2,74 | 2,45 1,32–3,58 1,03–3,87 | 3,87 1,69–6,05 1,13–6,60 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,23 0,80–3,67 0,41–4,06 | 3,94 2,38–5,50 1,96–5,92 | 6,17 3,18–9,17 2,37–9,98 | 18% 13% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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