Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,383,04sigur0,69–2,620,53–2,241,21–4,86mai sigur0,44–2,880,30–2,460,73–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,394,6110,01sigur3,53–7,252,87–6,366,40–13,61mai sigur3,04–7,742,41–6,825,45–14,57
Total șuturi
70%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8212,5028,32sigur11,89–19,748,93–16,0620,83–35,80mai sigur10,80–20,837,97–17,0218,78–37,85
Șuturi din careu
66%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,548,2318,78sigur7,60–13,495,55–10,9213,16–24,40mai sigur6,77–14,324,82–11,6511,59–25,97
Șuturi blocate
56%
13%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,793,828,61sigur2,91–6,682,17–5,475,08–12,15mai sigur2,37–7,221,67–5,964,04–13,18
Cornere
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,664,8710,53sigur3,44–7,872,87–6,876,32–14,74mai sigur2,87–8,442,34–7,415,21–15,85
Posesie %
31%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,2553,63sigur39,46–53,0446,84–60,41mai sigur37,79–54,7145,17–62,08
Pase
33%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436490926sigur369–503423–556792–1060mai sigur351–522406–574757–1095
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6075,98sigur65,57–73,6371,66–80,31mai sigur64,27–74,9270,35–81,61
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1112,6823,79sigur8,27–13,949,74–15,6318,01–29,57mai sigur7,51–14,708,99–16,3716,50–31,07
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,623,11sigur0,34–2,660,52–2,710,86–5,37mai sigur0,03–2,960,24–3,000,27–5,96
Cartonașe galbene
26%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,163,62sigur0,41–2,511,03–3,291,44–5,80mai sigur0,14–2,770,74–3,580,88–6,36
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,073,406,47sigur1,63–4,501,85–4,963,48–9,46mai sigur1,24–4,891,42–5,392,67–10,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,66 0,69–2,62 0,44–2,88 | 1,38 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,46 | 3,04 1,21–4,86 0,73–5,34 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,39 3,53–7,25 3,04–7,74 | 4,61 2,87–6,36 2,41–6,82 | 10,01 6,40–13,61 5,45–14,57 | 53% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 15,82 11,89–19,74 10,80–20,83 | 12,50 8,93–16,06 7,97–17,02 | 28,32 20,83–35,80 18,78–37,85 | 70% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,54 7,60–13,49 6,77–14,32 | 8,23 5,55–10,92 4,82–11,65 | 18,78 13,16–24,40 11,59–25,97 | 66% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,79 2,91–6,68 2,37–7,22 | 3,82 2,17–5,47 1,67–5,96 | 8,61 5,08–12,15 4,04–13,18 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,66 3,44–7,87 2,87–8,44 | 4,87 2,87–6,87 2,34–7,41 | 10,53 6,32–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 53% 34% |
| Posesie % | 46,25 39,46–53,04 37,79–54,71 | 53,63 46,84–60,41 45,17–62,08 | — | 31% 65% |
| Pase | 436 369–503 351–522 | 490 423–556 406–574 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 33% 67% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,60 65,57–73,63 64,27–74,92 | 75,98 71,66–80,31 70,35–81,61 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 11,11 8,27–13,94 7,51–14,70 | 12,68 9,74–15,63 8,99–16,37 | 23,79 18,01–29,57 16,50–31,07 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,50 0,34–2,66 0,03–2,96 | 1,62 0,52–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,11 0,86–5,37 0,27–5,96 | 36% 24% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,51 0,14–2,77 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,62 1,44–5,80 0,88–6,36 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,07 1,63–4,50 1,24–4,89 | 3,40 1,85–4,96 1,42–5,39 | 6,47 3,48–9,46 2,67–10,28 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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