Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,393,15sigur0,79–2,720,54–2,251,33–4,97mai sigur0,54–2,980,31–2,470,85–5,45
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,634,8810,51sigur3,77–7,493,14–6,626,90–14,11mai sigur3,28–7,982,67–7,095,95–15,07
Total șuturi
65%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4913,9330,42sigur12,57–20,4210,36–17,4922,93–37,91mai sigur11,48–21,519,40–18,4520,88–39,96
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,878,9419,81sigur7,93–13,816,26–11,6214,19–25,44mai sigur7,10–14,645,52–12,3612,62–27,00
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,433,517,94sigur2,54–6,311,86–5,174,40–11,48mai sigur2,00–6,851,37–5,663,37–12,51
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,894,9510,84sigur3,68–8,112,95–6,956,63–15,05mai sigur3,11–8,682,41–7,485,52–16,16
Posesie %
43%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2051,38sigur42,41–55,9944,60–58,17mai sigur40,74–57,6642,92–59,84
Pase
53%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție449441891sigur382–517375–508757–1024mai sigur364–535357–525721–1060
Precizie pase %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8372,34sigur63,80–71,8668,02–76,66mai sigur62,51–73,1566,71–77,97
Faulturi
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5211,4822,99sigur8,68–14,368,53–14,4217,21–28,78mai sigur7,93–15,117,78–15,1715,71–30,28
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,793,82sigur0,87–3,190,70–2,891,57–6,08mai sigur0,57–3,490,41–3,170,98–6,67
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,923,45sigur0,49–2,580,79–3,051,28–5,63mai sigur0,22–2,850,50–3,340,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,223,716,93sigur1,79–4,662,15–5,263,94–9,92mai sigur1,40–5,051,72–5,693,12–10,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,72 0,54–2,98 | 1,39 0,54–2,25 0,31–2,47 | 3,15 1,33–4,97 0,85–5,45 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,63 3,77–7,49 3,28–7,98 | 4,88 3,14–6,62 2,67–7,09 | 10,51 6,90–14,11 5,95–15,07 | 53% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 16,49 12,57–20,42 11,48–21,51 | 13,93 10,36–17,49 9,40–18,45 | 30,42 22,93–37,91 20,88–39,96 | 65% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,87 7,93–13,81 7,10–14,64 | 8,94 6,26–11,62 5,52–12,36 | 19,81 14,19–25,44 12,62–27,00 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,54–6,31 2,00–6,85 | 3,51 1,86–5,17 1,37–5,66 | 7,94 4,40–11,48 3,37–12,51 | 56% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,89 3,68–8,11 3,11–8,68 | 4,95 2,95–6,95 2,41–7,48 | 10,84 6,63–15,05 5,52–16,16 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 49,20 42,41–55,99 40,74–57,66 | 51,38 44,60–58,17 42,92–59,84 | — | 43% 53% |
| Pase | 449 382–517 364–535 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 53% 47% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,83 63,80–71,86 62,51–73,15 | 72,34 68,02–76,66 66,71–77,97 | — | 26% 70% |
| Faulturi | 11,52 8,68–14,36 7,93–15,11 | 11,48 8,53–14,42 7,78–15,17 | 22,99 17,21–28,78 15,71–30,28 | 46% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,03 0,87–3,19 0,57–3,49 | 1,79 0,70–2,89 0,41–3,17 | 3,82 1,57–6,08 0,98–6,67 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,49–2,58 0,22–2,85 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,45 1,28–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,22 1,79–4,66 1,40–5,05 | 3,71 2,15–5,26 1,72–5,69 | 6,93 3,94–9,92 3,12–10,73 | 35% 15% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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