Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
21%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,232,093,32sigur0,26–2,201,24–2,941,50–5,14mai sigur0,01–2,451,01–3,171,02–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
17%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,006,5410,54sigur2,14–5,864,80–8,286,94–14,15mai sigur1,65–6,354,33–8,755,98–15,10
Total șuturi
17%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1217,8430,96sigur9,19–17,0414,28–21,4123,47–38,45mai sigur8,10–18,1313,32–22,3721,42–40,50
Șuturi din careu
19%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,6012,1620,76sigur5,66–11,549,48–14,8415,14–26,38mai sigur4,83–12,378,74–15,5813,57–27,95
Șuturi blocate
23%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,314,908,21sigur1,43–5,203,25–6,554,68–11,75mai sigur0,89–5,742,75–7,053,64–12,78
Cornere
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,566,2610,82sigur2,35–6,774,26–8,266,61–15,04mai sigur1,77–7,353,73–8,805,50–16,14
Posesie %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,8155,59sigur38,02–51,6048,81–62,38mai sigur36,35–53,2747,14–64,05
Pase
22%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție369460830sigur302–437394–527696–963mai sigur284–455376–544660–999
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,9773,15sigur57,94–66,0068,83–77,47mai sigur56,65–67,2967,52–78,78
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7913,6125,40sigur8,95–14,6210,67–16,5619,62–31,18mai sigur8,19–15,389,92–17,3118,11–32,69
Ofsaiduri
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,983,66sigur0,53–2,850,88–3,071,41–5,92mai sigur0,22–3,150,59–3,360,82–6,51
Cartonașe galbene
45%
20%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,171,924,10sigur1,12–3,220,80–3,051,92–6,28mai sigur0,86–3,490,50–3,341,36–6,83
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,110,23sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,430,00–0,86
Parade portar
57%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,812,866,68sigur2,37–5,251,31–4,423,68–9,67mai sigur1,99–5,630,88–4,852,87–10,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,23 0,26–2,20 0,01–2,45 | 2,09 1,24–2,94 1,01–3,17 | 3,32 1,50–5,14 1,02–5,62 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,00 2,14–5,86 1,65–6,35 | 6,54 4,80–8,28 4,33–8,75 | 10,54 6,94–14,15 5,98–15,10 | 17% 74% |
| Total șuturi | 13,12 9,19–17,04 8,10–18,13 | 17,84 14,28–21,41 13,32–22,37 | 30,96 23,47–38,45 21,42–40,50 | 17% 78% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,60 5,66–11,54 4,83–12,37 | 12,16 9,48–14,84 8,74–15,58 | 20,76 15,14–26,38 13,57–27,95 | 19% 75% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,31 1,43–5,20 0,89–5,74 | 4,90 3,25–6,55 2,75–7,05 | 8,21 4,68–11,75 3,64–12,78 | 23% 65% |
| Cornere | 4,56 2,35–6,77 1,77–7,35 | 6,26 4,26–8,26 3,73–8,80 | 10,82 6,61–15,04 5,50–16,14 | 25% 64% |
| Posesie % | 44,81 38,02–51,60 36,35–53,27 | 55,59 48,81–62,38 47,14–64,05 | — | 24% 72% |
| Pase | 369 302–437 284–455 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 22% 78% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,97 57,94–66,00 56,65–67,29 | 73,15 68,83–77,47 67,52–78,78 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 11,79 8,95–14,62 8,19–15,38 | 13,61 10,67–16,56 9,92–17,31 | 25,40 19,62–31,18 18,11–32,69 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,22–3,15 | 1,98 0,88–3,07 0,59–3,36 | 3,66 1,41–5,92 0,82–6,51 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,17 1,12–3,22 0,86–3,49 | 1,92 0,80–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 4,10 1,92–6,28 1,36–6,83 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,81 2,37–5,25 1,99–5,63 | 2,86 1,31–4,42 0,88–4,85 | 6,68 3,68–9,67 2,87–10,48 | 57% 15% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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