Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,653,35sigur0,74–2,680,79–2,501,53–5,18mai sigur0,49–2,930,56–2,731,05–5,66
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,284,7710,06sigur3,42–7,153,03–6,526,45–13,66mai sigur2,93–7,632,56–6,985,49–14,62
Total șuturi
53%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2913,4427,73sigur10,36–18,219,88–17,0120,24–35,22mai sigur9,27–19,308,92–17,9718,19–37,27
Șuturi din careu
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,829,5419,36sigur6,88–12,776,85–12,2213,74–24,98mai sigur6,05–13,606,12–12,9512,17–26,55
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,547,51sigur2,09–5,851,89–5,203,97–11,05mai sigur1,54–6,391,40–5,692,94–12,08
Cornere
47%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,385,0910,47sigur3,16–7,593,09–7,096,26–14,68mai sigur2,59–8,162,56–7,625,15–15,79
Posesie %
45%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9651,30sigur43,17–56,7544,51–58,08mai sigur41,50–58,4242,84–59,76
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție444456901sigur377–512390–523767–1034mai sigur359–530372–540731–1070
Precizie pase %
26%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3869,78sigur61,35–69,4165,46–74,10mai sigur60,06–70,7064,15–75,41
Faulturi
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1712,6822,85sigur7,33–13,019,74–15,6317,07–28,63mai sigur6,58–13,768,99–16,3715,56–30,14
Ofsaiduri
25%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,203,67sigur0,31–2,631,11–3,301,42–5,93mai sigur0,01–2,930,82–3,580,83–6,52
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,572,163,73sigur0,52–2,621,03–3,291,55–5,90mai sigur0,25–2,880,74–3,580,99–6,46
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,133,626,76sigur1,70–4,572,07–5,183,77–9,75mai sigur1,31–4,961,64–5,612,95–10,56
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,71 0,74–2,68 0,49–2,93 | 1,65 0,79–2,50 0,56–2,73 | 3,35 1,53–5,18 1,05–5,66 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,28 3,42–7,15 2,93–7,63 | 4,77 3,03–6,52 2,56–6,98 | 10,06 6,45–13,66 5,49–14,62 | 50% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 14,29 10,36–18,21 9,27–19,30 | 13,44 9,88–17,01 8,92–17,97 | 27,73 20,24–35,22 18,19–37,27 | 53% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,82 6,88–12,77 6,05–13,60 | 9,54 6,85–12,22 6,12–12,95 | 19,36 13,74–24,98 12,17–26,55 | 48% 43% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,09–5,85 1,54–6,39 | 3,54 1,89–5,20 1,40–5,69 | 7,51 3,97–11,05 2,94–12,08 | 49% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,38 3,16–7,59 2,59–8,16 | 5,09 3,09–7,09 2,56–7,62 | 10,47 6,26–14,68 5,15–15,79 | 47% 40% |
| Posesie % | 49,96 43,17–56,75 41,50–58,42 | 51,30 44,51–58,08 42,84–59,76 | — | 45% 51% |
| Pase | 444 377–512 359–530 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,38 61,35–69,41 60,06–70,70 | 69,78 65,46–74,10 64,15–75,41 | — | 26% 69% |
| Faulturi | 10,17 7,33–13,01 6,58–13,76 | 12,68 9,74–15,63 8,99–16,37 | 22,85 17,07–28,63 15,56–30,14 | 26% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,47 0,31–2,63 0,01–2,93 | 2,20 1,11–3,30 0,82–3,58 | 3,67 1,42–5,93 0,83–6,52 | 25% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,25–2,88 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,73 1,55–5,90 0,99–6,46 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,13 1,70–4,57 1,31–4,96 | 3,62 2,07–5,18 1,64–5,61 | 6,76 3,77–9,75 2,95–10,56 | 35% 15% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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