Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,042,81sigur0,80–2,730,19–1,900,99–4,63mai sigur0,55–2,980,00–2,130,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,333,719,04sigur3,47–7,201,96–5,455,44–12,65mai sigur2,98–7,691,50–5,914,48–13,60
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4710,5226,99sigur12,54–20,396,96–14,0819,50–34,47mai sigur11,45–21,486,00–15,0417,45–36,52
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,256,7317,97sigur8,30–14,194,05–9,4112,35–23,60mai sigur7,47–15,023,31–10,1510,78–25,16
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,343,237,57sigur2,46–6,221,58–4,894,04–11,11mai sigur1,92–6,771,09–5,383,00–12,15
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,974,2110,18sigur3,76–8,182,21–6,215,96–14,39mai sigur3,18–8,761,67–6,744,86–15,50
Posesie %
50%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8950,01sigur44,10–57,6843,22–56,79mai sigur42,43–59,3541,55–58,46
Pase
52%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție440435875sigur373–507369–502742–1009mai sigur355–526351–519706–1045
Precizie pase %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8770,44sigur65,84–73,9066,12–74,77mai sigur64,55–75,1964,81–76,07
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4610,8722,34sigur8,63–14,307,93–13,8216,55–28,12mai sigur7,87–15,067,18–14,5715,05–29,62
Ofsaiduri
42%
24%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,453,09sigur0,47–2,790,36–2,550,83–5,34mai sigur0,17–3,100,07–2,840,25–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
31%
21%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,622,063,68sigur0,57–2,670,93–3,191,51–5,86mai sigur0,31–2,940,64–3,480,95–6,42
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,563,425,98sigur1,13–4,001,86–4,972,99–8,97mai sigur0,74–4,391,44–5,402,18–9,79
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,73 0,55–2,98 | 1,04 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 54% 23% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,33 3,47–7,20 2,98–7,69 | 3,71 1,96–5,45 1,50–5,91 | 9,04 5,44–12,65 4,48–13,60 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,47 12,54–20,39 11,45–21,48 | 10,52 6,96–14,08 6,00–15,04 | 26,99 19,50–34,47 17,45–36,52 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,25 8,30–14,19 7,47–15,02 | 6,73 4,05–9,41 3,31–10,15 | 17,97 12,35–23,60 10,78–25,16 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,34 2,46–6,22 1,92–6,77 | 3,23 1,58–4,89 1,09–5,38 | 7,57 4,04–11,11 3,00–12,15 | 59% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,97 3,76–8,18 3,18–8,76 | 4,21 2,21–6,21 1,67–6,74 | 10,18 5,96–14,39 4,86–15,50 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 50,89 44,10–57,68 42,43–59,35 | 50,01 43,22–56,79 41,55–58,46 | — | 50% 46% |
| Pase | 440 373–507 355–526 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 52% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,87 65,84–73,90 64,55–75,19 | 70,44 66,12–74,77 64,81–76,07 | — | 45% 50% |
| Faulturi | 11,46 8,63–14,30 7,87–15,06 | 10,87 7,93–13,82 7,18–14,57 | 22,34 16,55–28,12 15,05–29,62 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,10 | 1,45 0,36–2,55 0,07–2,84 | 3,09 0,83–5,34 0,25–5,93 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,31–2,94 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,68 1,51–5,86 0,95–6,42 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,13–4,00 0,74–4,39 | 3,42 1,86–4,97 1,44–5,40 | 5,98 2,99–8,97 2,18–9,79 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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