Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
21%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,263,38sigur1,15–3,090,40–2,111,56–5,20mai sigur0,90–3,340,17–2,341,08–5,68
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,574,3210,88sigur4,71–8,432,57–6,067,28–14,49mai sigur4,22–8,922,11–6,526,32–15,44
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,9411,7231,67sigur16,02–23,878,16–15,2924,18–39,15mai sigur14,93–24,967,20–16,2422,13–41,20
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,007,3221,31sigur11,05–16,944,63–10,0015,69–26,93mai sigur10,22–17,773,90–10,7314,12–28,50
Șuturi blocate
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,023,089,10sigur4,14–7,901,43–4,735,56–12,63mai sigur3,59–8,440,93–5,224,53–13,67
Cornere
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,903,9210,83sigur4,69–9,121,92–5,926,61–15,04mai sigur4,12–9,691,39–6,455,51–16,15
Posesie %
63%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,1446,62sigur46,35–59,9339,84–53,41mai sigur44,68–61,6038,17–55,08
Pase
65%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție471425896sigur404–538358–491762–1029mai sigur386–556341–509726–1065
Precizie pase %
61%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,6171,03sigur69,58–77,6466,71–75,36mai sigur68,29–78,9365,40–76,67
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7511,4124,16sigur9,91–15,588,47–14,3618,38–29,94mai sigur9,15–16,347,72–15,1116,87–31,45
Ofsaiduri
60%
19%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,381,353,72sigur1,22–3,540,25–2,441,47–5,98mai sigur0,91–3,840,00–2,730,88–6,57
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,883,49sigur0,57–2,670,75–3,011,32–5,67mai sigur0,30–2,930,46–3,300,76–6,23
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
22%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,904,507,40sigur1,46–4,342,94–6,054,40–10,39mai sigur1,08–4,722,52–6,483,59–11,20
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,12 1,15–3,09 0,90–3,34 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 3,38 1,56–5,20 1,08–5,68 | 57% 21% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,57 4,71–8,43 4,22–8,92 | 4,32 2,57–6,06 2,11–6,52 | 10,88 7,28–14,49 6,32–15,44 | 70% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 19,94 16,02–23,87 14,93–24,96 | 11,72 8,16–15,29 7,20–16,24 | 31,67 24,18–39,15 22,13–41,20 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,00 11,05–16,94 10,22–17,77 | 7,32 4,63–10,00 3,90–10,73 | 21,31 15,69–26,93 14,12–28,50 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 6,02 4,14–7,90 3,59–8,44 | 3,08 1,43–4,73 0,93–5,22 | 9,10 5,56–12,63 4,53–13,67 | 79% |
| Cornere | 6,90 4,69–9,12 4,12–9,69 | 3,92 1,92–5,92 1,39–6,45 | 10,83 6,61–15,04 5,51–16,15 | 78% 14% |
| Posesie % | 53,14 46,35–59,93 44,68–61,60 | 46,62 39,84–53,41 38,17–55,08 | — | 63% 33% |
| Pase | 471 404–538 386–556 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 65% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,61 69,58–77,64 68,29–78,93 | 71,03 66,71–75,36 65,40–76,67 | — | 61% 35% |
| Faulturi | 12,75 9,91–15,58 9,15–16,34 | 11,41 8,47–14,36 7,72–15,11 | 24,16 18,38–29,94 16,87–31,45 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,38 1,22–3,54 0,91–3,84 | 1,35 0,25–2,44 0,00–2,73 | 3,72 1,47–5,98 0,88–6,57 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,30–2,93 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,49 1,32–5,67 0,76–6,23 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,46–4,34 1,08–4,72 | 4,50 2,94–6,05 2,52–6,48 | 7,40 4,40–10,39 3,59–11,20 | 22% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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