Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
19%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,233,55sigur1,36–3,290,37–2,081,73–5,37mai sigur1,10–3,540,14–2,311,25–5,85
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,384,1310,52sigur4,52–8,252,39–5,886,91–14,12mai sigur4,03–8,731,93–6,345,96–15,08
Total șuturi
82%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4611,1927,65sigur12,53–20,387,63–14,7520,16–35,14mai sigur11,44–21,476,67–15,7118,11–37,19
Șuturi din careu
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,908,1020,00sigur8,96–14,845,41–10,7814,37–25,62mai sigur8,13–15,674,68–11,5112,81–27,19
Șuturi blocate
63%
13%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,523,137,65sigur2,64–6,411,48–4,784,12–11,19mai sigur2,10–6,950,98–5,283,08–12,22
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,524,2210,74sigur4,30–8,732,22–6,226,52–14,95mai sigur3,73–9,301,69–6,755,42–16,06
Posesie %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,1642,47sigur51,37–64,9535,69–49,26mai sigur49,70–66,6234,02–50,93
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție523370893sigur456–590304–437759–1027mai sigur437–608286–454724–1062
Precizie pase %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6968,30sigur70,66–78,7163,98–72,63mai sigur69,36–80,0162,67–73,94
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8211,3022,13sigur7,99–13,668,36–14,2516,34–27,91mai sigur7,23–14,427,61–15,0014,84–29,41
Ofsaiduri
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,453,56sigur0,96–3,280,36–2,541,31–5,82mai sigur0,65–3,580,07–2,830,72–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,893,22sigur0,28–2,380,76–3,021,05–5,40mai sigur0,02–2,650,47–3,310,49–5,96
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
26%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,844,026,86sigur1,40–4,282,46–5,583,87–9,85mai sigur1,02–4,662,04–6,003,05–10,66
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,32 1,36–3,29 1,10–3,54 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 3,55 1,73–5,37 1,25–5,85 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,38 4,52–8,25 4,03–8,73 | 4,13 2,39–5,88 1,93–6,34 | 10,52 6,91–14,12 5,96–15,08 | 71% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 16,46 12,53–20,38 11,44–21,47 | 11,19 7,63–14,75 6,67–15,71 | 27,65 20,16–35,14 18,11–37,19 | 82% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,90 8,96–14,84 8,13–15,67 | 8,10 5,41–10,78 4,68–11,51 | 20,00 14,37–25,62 12,81–27,19 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,52 2,64–6,41 2,10–6,95 | 3,13 1,48–4,78 0,98–5,28 | 7,65 4,12–11,19 3,08–12,22 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,52 4,30–8,73 3,73–9,30 | 4,22 2,22–6,22 1,69–6,75 | 10,74 6,52–14,95 5,42–16,06 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 58,16 51,37–64,95 49,70–66,62 | 42,47 35,69–49,26 34,02–50,93 | — | 81% 16% |
| Pase | 523 456–590 437–608 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 893 759–1027 724–1062 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,69 70,66–78,71 69,36–80,01 | 68,30 63,98–72,63 62,67–73,94 | — | 78% 19% |
| Faulturi | 10,82 7,99–13,66 7,23–14,42 | 11,30 8,36–14,25 7,61–15,00 | 22,13 16,34–27,91 14,84–29,41 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,12 0,96–3,28 0,65–3,58 | 1,45 0,36–2,54 0,07–2,83 | 3,56 1,31–5,82 0,72–6,41 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,33 0,28–2,38 0,02–2,65 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,22 1,05–5,40 0,49–5,96 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,40–4,28 1,02–4,66 | 4,02 2,46–5,58 2,04–6,00 | 6,86 3,87–9,85 3,05–10,66 | 26% 14% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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