Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
19%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,201,033,24sigur1,23–3,170,18–1,891,41–5,06mai sigur0,98–3,420,00–2,120,93–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,373,7710,14sigur4,51–8,232,03–5,526,54–13,75mai sigur4,02–8,721,57–5,985,58–14,70
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,3311,0829,41sigur14,41–22,267,52–14,6421,93–36,90mai sigur13,32–23,356,56–15,6019,88–38,95
Șuturi din careu
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,357,7420,08sigur9,40–15,295,06–10,4214,46–25,71mai sigur8,57–16,124,32–11,1612,89–27,27
Șuturi blocate
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,992,827,81sigur3,11–6,881,17–4,474,28–11,35mai sigur2,57–7,420,67–4,963,24–12,38
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,053,7510,80sigur4,84–9,261,75–5,756,58–15,01mai sigur4,26–9,841,21–6,285,47–16,12
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,3339,19sigur53,54–67,1232,41–45,98mai sigur51,87–68,7930,74–47,65
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție583373955sigur515–650306–439822–1089mai sigur497–668289–457786–1125
Precizie pase %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4967,81sigur70,46–78,5263,49–72,13mai sigur69,17–79,8162,18–73,44
Faulturi
37%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7011,7322,42sigur7,86–13,538,78–14,6716,64–28,21mai sigur7,10–14,298,03–15,4215,14–29,71
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,523,50sigur0,82–3,140,43–2,611,25–5,75mai sigur0,52–3,440,14–2,900,66–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
19%
21%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,112,103,22sigur0,07–2,160,97–3,231,04–5,39mai sigur0,00–2,430,68–3,520,48–5,95
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
22%
13%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,674,136,80sigur1,23–4,102,58–5,693,81–9,79mai sigur0,84–4,492,15–6,113,00–10,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,20 1,23–3,17 0,98–3,42 | 1,03 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,12 | 3,24 1,41–5,06 0,93–5,54 | 64% 19% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,37 4,51–8,23 4,02–8,72 | 3,77 2,03–5,52 1,57–5,98 | 10,14 6,54–13,75 5,58–14,70 | 75% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 18,33 14,41–22,26 13,32–23,35 | 11,08 7,52–14,64 6,56–15,60 | 29,41 21,93–36,90 19,88–38,95 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,35 9,40–15,29 8,57–16,12 | 7,74 5,06–10,42 4,32–11,16 | 20,08 14,46–25,71 12,89–27,27 | 82% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,99 3,11–6,88 2,57–7,42 | 2,82 1,17–4,47 0,67–4,96 | 7,81 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 73% 17% |
| Cornere | 7,05 4,84–9,26 4,26–9,84 | 3,75 1,75–5,75 1,21–6,28 | 10,80 6,58–15,01 5,47–16,12 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 60,33 53,54–67,12 51,87–68,79 | 39,19 32,41–45,98 30,74–47,65 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 583 515–650 497–668 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,49 70,46–78,52 69,17–79,81 | 67,81 63,49–72,13 62,18–73,44 | — | 79% 18% |
| Faulturi | 10,70 7,86–13,53 7,10–14,29 | 11,73 8,78–14,67 8,03–15,42 | 22,42 16,64–28,21 15,14–29,71 | 37% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,44 | 1,52 0,43–2,61 0,14–2,90 | 3,50 1,25–5,75 0,66–6,34 | 49% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,11 0,07–2,16 0,00–2,43 | 2,10 0,97–3,23 0,68–3,52 | 3,22 1,04–5,39 0,48–5,95 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,67 1,23–4,10 0,84–4,49 | 4,13 2,58–5,69 2,15–6,11 | 6,80 3,81–9,79 3,00–10,60 | 22% 13% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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