Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
23%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,362,183,55sigur0,39–2,331,33–3,041,72–5,37mai sigur0,14–2,581,10–3,271,24–5,85
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,136,7511,88sigur3,27–6,995,01–8,498,28–15,49mai sigur2,78–7,484,54–8,967,32–16,44
Total șuturi
33%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9016,9131,81sigur10,98–18,8313,35–20,4724,33–39,30mai sigur9,89–19,9212,39–21,4322,27–41,35
Șuturi din careu
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3511,6020,95sigur6,41–12,298,92–14,2815,33–26,58mai sigur5,58–13,128,19–15,0213,76–28,14
Șuturi blocate
33%
14%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,774,538,31sigur1,89–5,662,88–6,194,77–11,84mai sigur1,35–6,202,39–6,683,73–12,88
Cornere
31%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,855,9910,85sigur2,64–7,073,99–7,996,63–15,06mai sigur2,07–7,643,46–8,535,53–16,17
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,7254,64sigur38,93–52,5147,86–61,43mai sigur37,26–54,1846,19–63,10
Pase
26%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție428506934sigur361–495440–573801–1068mai sigur343–513422–590765–1104
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8876,67sigur63,85–71,9172,35–81,00mai sigur62,56–73,2071,04–82,31
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2711,0422,31sigur8,43–14,118,10–13,9916,53–28,10mai sigur7,68–14,867,35–14,7415,03–29,60
Ofsaiduri
60%
17%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,771,694,45sigur1,61–3,930,59–2,782,20–6,71mai sigur1,31–4,230,31–3,071,61–7,30
Cartonașe galbene
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,732,023,76sigur0,68–2,780,89–3,151,58–5,94mai sigur0,42–3,050,60–3,441,02–6,49
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,277,68sigur2,98–5,851,71–4,834,69–10,68mai sigur2,59–6,241,29–5,253,88–11,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,33 0,14–2,58 | 2,18 1,33–3,04 1,10–3,27 | 3,55 1,72–5,37 1,24–5,85 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,13 3,27–6,99 2,78–7,48 | 6,75 5,01–8,49 4,54–8,96 | 11,88 8,28–15,49 7,32–16,44 | 27% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 14,90 10,98–18,83 9,89–19,92 | 16,91 13,35–20,47 12,39–21,43 | 31,81 24,33–39,30 22,27–41,35 | 33% 61% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,35 6,41–12,29 5,58–13,12 | 11,60 8,92–14,28 8,19–15,02 | 20,95 15,33–26,58 13,76–28,14 | 27% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,77 1,89–5,66 1,35–6,20 | 4,53 2,88–6,19 2,39–6,68 | 8,31 4,77–11,84 3,73–12,88 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Cornere | 4,85 2,64–7,07 2,07–7,64 | 5,99 3,99–7,99 3,46–8,53 | 10,85 6,63–15,06 5,53–16,17 | 31% 58% |
| Posesie % | 45,72 38,93–52,51 37,26–54,18 | 54,64 47,86–61,43 46,19–63,10 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 428 361–495 343–513 | 506 440–573 422–590 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 26% 74% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,88 63,85–71,91 62,56–73,20 | 76,67 72,35–81,00 71,04–82,31 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 11,27 8,43–14,11 7,68–14,86 | 11,04 8,10–13,99 7,35–14,74 | 22,31 16,53–28,10 15,03–29,60 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,77 1,61–3,93 1,31–4,23 | 1,69 0,59–2,78 0,31–3,07 | 4,45 2,20–6,71 1,61–7,30 | 60% 17% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,73 0,68–2,78 0,42–3,05 | 2,02 0,89–3,15 0,60–3,44 | 3,76 1,58–5,94 1,02–6,49 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 4,41 2,98–5,85 2,59–6,24 | 3,27 1,71–4,83 1,29–5,25 | 7,68 4,69–10,68 3,88–11,49 | 59% 14% 27% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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