Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,100,934,03sigur2,13–4,070,08–1,792,21–5,85mai sigur1,88–4,320,00–2,011,73–6,33
Șuturi pe poartă
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,293,2910,58sigur5,43–9,151,55–5,036,98–14,19mai sigur4,94–9,641,08–5,506,02–15,14
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,319,2028,51sigur15,39–23,235,64–12,7721,03–36,00mai sigur14,29–24,334,68–13,7218,97–38,05
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,795,6618,45sigur9,85–15,742,98–8,3412,83–24,08mai sigur9,02–16,572,24–9,0811,26–25,64
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,732,367,09sigur2,84–6,610,71–4,013,55–10,62mai sigur2,30–7,150,22–4,512,52–11,66
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,322,929,25sigur4,11–8,540,92–4,925,03–13,46mai sigur3,54–9,110,39–5,463,93–14,57
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,9036,77sigur57,11–70,6929,98–43,55mai sigur55,44–72,3628,31–45,22
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6473731020sigur580–715306–439887–1154mai sigur562–733289–457851–1190
Precizie pase %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,9874,94sigur77,95–86,0170,62–79,27mai sigur76,66–87,3169,31–80,58
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9611,6021,56sigur7,12–12,798,66–14,5515,78–27,34mai sigur6,36–13,557,91–15,3014,27–28,85
Ofsaiduri
37%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,953,79sigur0,68–3,000,85–3,041,53–6,04mai sigur0,38–3,300,57–3,330,94–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
23%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,332,193,52sigur0,28–2,381,06–3,321,35–5,70mai sigur0,02–2,650,77–3,610,79–6,26
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
13%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,174,476,64sigur0,73–3,612,91–6,033,65–9,63mai sigur0,35–3,992,49–6,452,83–10,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 3,10 2,13–4,07 1,88–4,32 | 0,93 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,01 | 4,03 2,21–5,85 1,73–6,33 | 80% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,29 5,43–9,15 4,94–9,64 | 3,29 1,55–5,03 1,08–5,50 | 10,58 6,98–14,19 6,02–15,14 | 86% |
| Total șuturi | 19,31 15,39–23,23 14,29–24,33 | 9,20 5,64–12,77 4,68–13,72 | 28,51 21,03–36,00 18,97–38,05 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,79 9,85–15,74 9,02–16,57 | 5,66 2,98–8,34 2,24–9,08 | 18,45 12,83–24,08 11,26–25,64 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,73 2,84–6,61 2,30–7,15 | 2,36 0,71–4,01 0,22–4,51 | 7,09 3,55–10,62 2,52–11,66 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,32 4,11–8,54 3,54–9,11 | 2,92 0,92–4,92 0,39–5,46 | 9,25 5,03–13,46 3,93–14,57 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 63,90 57,11–70,69 55,44–72,36 | 36,77 29,98–43,55 28,31–45,22 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 647 580–715 562–733 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 1020 887–1154 851–1190 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,98 77,95–86,01 76,66–87,31 | 74,94 70,62–79,27 69,31–80,58 | — | 80% 17% |
| Faulturi | 9,96 7,12–12,79 6,36–13,55 | 11,60 8,66–14,55 7,91–15,30 | 21,56 15,78–27,34 14,27–28,85 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 1,95 0,85–3,04 0,57–3,33 | 3,79 1,53–6,04 0,94–6,63 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,33 0,28–2,38 0,02–2,65 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 3,52 1,35–5,70 0,79–6,26 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,17 0,73–3,61 0,35–3,99 | 4,47 2,91–6,03 2,49–6,45 | 6,64 3,65–9,63 2,83–10,44 | 13% 76% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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