Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,702,173,87sigur0,74–2,671,32–3,022,05–5,70mai sigur0,48–2,921,09–3,251,57–6,18
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,385,8511,23sigur3,52–7,244,11–7,597,62–14,83mai sigur3,03–7,733,64–8,066,67–15,79
Total șuturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2515,9132,15sigur12,32–20,1712,34–19,4724,67–39,64mai sigur11,23–21,2611,38–20,4322,62–41,69
Șuturi din careu
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3111,0821,39sigur7,37–13,258,40–13,7615,77–27,01mai sigur6,54–14,087,67–14,5014,20–28,58
Șuturi blocate
58%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,863,788,65sigur2,98–6,752,13–5,445,11–12,18mai sigur2,44–7,291,64–5,934,08–13,22
Cornere
44%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,685,6611,34sigur3,47–7,893,66–7,667,13–15,56mai sigur2,89–8,473,13–8,206,02–16,66
Posesie %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,7852,09sigur41,99–55,5745,30–58,87mai sigur40,32–57,2443,63–60,54
Pase
41%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție471498969sigur404–538432–565836–1103mai sigur386–556414–582800–1139
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8075,31sigur65,77–73,8370,99–79,64mai sigur64,48–75,1269,68–80,94
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6411,6422,28sigur7,81–13,488,69–14,5816,50–28,06mai sigur7,05–14,247,94–15,3314,99–29,57
Ofsaiduri
13%
14%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,373,134,49sigur0,21–2,532,03–4,222,24–6,75mai sigur0,00–2,831,75–4,511,65–7,34
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,923,55sigur0,59–2,680,79–3,051,38–5,73mai sigur0,32–2,950,50–3,340,82–6,29
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,15sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,260,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,763,487,24sigur2,33–5,201,92–5,034,25–10,23mai sigur1,94–5,591,49–5,463,43–11,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,70 0,74–2,67 0,48–2,92 | 2,17 1,32–3,02 1,09–3,25 | 3,87 2,05–5,70 1,57–6,18 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,38 3,52–7,24 3,03–7,73 | 5,85 4,11–7,59 3,64–8,06 | 11,23 7,62–14,83 6,67–15,79 | 39% 50% |
| Total șuturi | 16,25 12,32–20,17 11,23–21,26 | 15,91 12,34–19,47 11,38–20,43 | 32,15 24,67–39,64 22,62–41,69 | 49% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,31 7,37–13,25 6,54–14,08 | 11,08 8,40–13,76 7,67–14,50 | 21,39 15,77–27,01 14,20–28,58 | 39% 52% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,86 2,98–6,75 2,44–7,29 | 3,78 2,13–5,44 1,64–5,93 | 8,65 5,11–12,18 4,08–13,22 | 58% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,68 3,47–7,89 2,89–8,47 | 5,66 3,66–7,66 3,13–8,20 | 11,34 7,13–15,56 6,02–16,66 | 44% 44% |
| Posesie % | 48,78 41,99–55,57 40,32–57,24 | 52,09 45,30–58,87 43,63–60,54 | — | 40% 55% |
| Pase | 471 404–538 386–556 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 969 836–1103 800–1139 | 41% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,80 65,77–73,83 64,48–75,12 | 75,31 70,99–79,64 69,68–80,94 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 10,64 7,81–13,48 7,05–14,24 | 11,64 8,69–14,58 7,94–15,33 | 22,28 16,50–28,06 14,99–29,57 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,37 0,21–2,53 0,00–2,83 | 3,13 2,03–4,22 1,75–4,51 | 4,49 2,24–6,75 1,65–7,34 | 13% 14% 72% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,63 0,59–2,68 0,32–2,95 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,55 1,38–5,73 0,82–6,29 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,76 2,33–5,20 1,94–5,59 | 3,48 1,92–5,03 1,49–5,46 | 7,24 4,25–10,23 3,43–11,04 | 47% 15% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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