Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
70%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,290,833,12sigur1,33–3,260,00–1,681,30–4,94mai sigur1,07–3,510,00–1,910,82–5,42
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,373,039,40sigur4,50–8,231,29–4,775,79–13,00mai sigur4,01–8,720,82–5,244,83–13,96
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,429,0327,46sigur14,50–22,355,47–12,5919,97–34,94mai sigur13,41–23,444,51–13,5517,92–36,99
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,845,3718,22sigur9,90–15,782,69–8,0512,59–23,84mai sigur9,07–16,611,96–8,7911,03–25,41
Șuturi blocate
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,532,437,95sigur3,64–7,410,77–4,084,42–11,49mai sigur3,10–7,950,28–4,573,38–12,52
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,633,199,81sigur4,41–8,841,19–5,195,60–14,03mai sigur3,84–9,410,66–5,724,49–15,13
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,8039,19sigur53,00–66,5932,41–45,98mai sigur51,34–68,2630,74–47,65
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție530341872sigur463–598275–408738–1005mai sigur445–616257–425702–1041
Precizie pase %
80%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,8868,80sigur71,85–79,9064,48–73,13mai sigur70,55–81,2063,17–74,44
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0512,5223,56sigur8,21–13,889,57–15,4617,78–29,35mai sigur7,45–14,648,82–16,2116,28–30,85
Ofsaiduri
37%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,553,06sigur0,34–2,660,46–2,650,80–5,31mai sigur0,04–2,960,17–2,940,21–5,90
Cartonașe galbene
23%
21%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,302,123,43sigur0,26–2,350,99–3,251,25–5,60mai sigur0,00–2,620,70–3,540,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,110,15sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,430,00–0,78
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,094,086,17sigur0,65–3,522,53–5,643,18–9,16mai sigur0,26–3,912,10–6,062,36–9,97
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,29 1,33–3,26 1,07–3,51 | 0,83 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,91 | 3,12 1,30–4,94 0,82–5,42 | 70% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,37 4,50–8,23 4,01–8,72 | 3,03 1,29–4,77 0,82–5,24 | 9,40 5,79–13,00 4,83–13,96 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 18,42 14,50–22,35 13,41–23,44 | 9,03 5,47–12,59 4,51–13,55 | 27,46 19,97–34,94 17,92–36,99 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,84 9,90–15,78 9,07–16,61 | 5,37 2,69–8,05 1,96–8,79 | 18,22 12,59–23,84 11,03–25,41 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,53 3,64–7,41 3,10–7,95 | 2,43 0,77–4,08 0,28–4,57 | 7,95 4,42–11,49 3,38–12,52 | 82% |
| Cornere | 6,63 4,41–8,84 3,84–9,41 | 3,19 1,19–5,19 0,66–5,72 | 9,81 5,60–14,03 4,49–15,13 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 59,80 53,00–66,59 51,34–68,26 | 39,19 32,41–45,98 30,74–47,65 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 530 463–598 445–616 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 872 738–1005 702–1041 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,88 71,85–79,90 70,55–81,20 | 68,80 64,48–73,13 63,17–74,44 | — | 80% 16% |
| Faulturi | 11,05 8,21–13,88 7,45–14,64 | 12,52 9,57–15,46 8,82–16,21 | 23,56 17,78–29,35 16,28–30,85 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,50 0,34–2,66 0,04–2,96 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,94 | 3,06 0,80–5,31 0,21–5,90 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,30 0,26–2,35 0,00–2,62 | 2,12 0,99–3,25 0,70–3,54 | 3,43 1,25–5,60 0,69–6,16 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,09 0,65–3,52 0,26–3,91 | 4,08 2,53–5,64 2,10–6,06 | 6,17 3,18–9,16 2,36–9,97 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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