Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,242,87sigur0,66–2,600,39–2,101,05–4,70mai sigur0,41–2,850,16–2,320,57–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,003,928,93sigur3,14–6,872,18–5,675,32–12,53mai sigur2,65–7,361,72–6,134,37–13,49
Total șuturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9912,3527,34sigur11,07–18,918,79–15,9119,85–34,83mai sigur9,97–20,017,83–16,8717,80–36,88
Șuturi din careu
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,537,9518,48sigur7,58–13,475,27–10,6312,85–24,10mai sigur6,75–14,304,53–11,3711,29–25,67
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,844,047,88sigur1,96–5,732,39–5,694,35–11,42mai sigur1,42–6,271,90–6,193,31–12,46
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,704,3610,06sigur3,48–7,912,36–6,365,85–14,27mai sigur2,91–8,491,83–6,894,74–15,38
Posesie %
49%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,4750,09sigur43,68–57,2643,30–56,87mai sigur42,01–58,9341,63–58,54
Pase
45%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție427443870sigur360–494377–510737–1004mai sigur342–513359–527701–1040
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,3471,69sigur63,31–71,3767,36–76,01mai sigur62,02–72,6766,05–77,32
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4113,0724,48sigur8,57–14,2410,13–16,0218,70–30,26mai sigur7,81–15,009,38–16,7717,19–31,77
Ofsaiduri
39%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,513,08sigur0,41–2,730,42–2,600,83–5,34mai sigur0,11–3,030,13–2,890,24–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
30%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,822,344,16sigur0,77–2,871,21–3,471,98–6,34mai sigur0,50–3,130,92–3,761,42–6,89
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,613,245,85sigur1,17–4,041,68–4,802,86–8,84mai sigur0,78–4,431,26–5,222,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,24 0,39–2,10 0,16–2,32 | 2,87 1,05–4,70 0,57–5,18 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,00 3,14–6,87 2,65–7,36 | 3,92 2,18–5,67 1,72–6,13 | 8,93 5,32–12,53 4,37–13,49 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,99 11,07–18,91 9,97–20,01 | 12,35 8,79–15,91 7,83–16,87 | 27,34 19,85–34,83 17,80–36,88 | 66% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,53 7,58–13,47 6,75–14,30 | 7,95 5,27–10,63 4,53–11,37 | 18,48 12,85–24,10 11,29–25,67 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,84 1,96–5,73 1,42–6,27 | 4,04 2,39–5,69 1,90–6,19 | 7,88 4,35–11,42 3,31–12,46 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,70 3,48–7,91 2,91–8,49 | 4,36 2,36–6,36 1,83–6,89 | 10,06 5,85–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 50,47 43,68–57,26 42,01–58,93 | 50,09 43,30–56,87 41,63–58,54 | — | 49% 47% |
| Pase | 427 360–494 342–513 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 870 737–1004 701–1040 | 45% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,34 63,31–71,37 62,02–72,67 | 71,69 67,36–76,01 66,05–77,32 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 11,41 8,57–14,24 7,81–15,00 | 13,07 10,13–16,02 9,38–16,77 | 24,48 18,70–30,26 17,19–31,77 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,57 0,41–2,73 0,11–3,03 | 1,51 0,42–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 3,08 0,83–5,34 0,24–5,93 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,82 0,77–2,87 0,50–3,13 | 2,34 1,21–3,47 0,92–3,76 | 4,16 1,98–6,34 1,42–6,89 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 3,24 1,68–4,80 1,26–5,22 | 5,85 2,86–8,84 2,04–9,65 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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